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Forex - EUR/USD drops to 11-week low, then rebounds on U.S. data

Published 05/15/2014, 11:44 AM
Updated 05/15/2014, 11:49 AM
Dollar gives back gains as close look at U.S. data reveals potholes on road to recovery
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Investing.com - A flurry of positive economic indicators in the U.S. sent the dollar edging higher against the euro on Thursday, though concerns the data revealed headwinds facing U.S. recovery brought the euro up from 11-week lows and back into positive territory.

In U.S. trading, EUR/USD was up 0.07% at 1.3724, up from a session low of 1.3649 and off a high of 1.3732.

The pair was likely to find support at 1.3643, the low from Feb. 27, and resistance at 1.3994, last Thursday's high.

In the U.S., upbeat data bolstered the dollar earlier though lingering concerns over the pace of recovery gave bottom fishers reason to snap up nicely-priced euro positions.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia said its manufacturing index ticked down to 15.4 this month from 16.6 in April, better than expectations for a 14.0 reading.

The data came after the U.S. Department of Labor said the number of individuals filing for initial jobless benefits in the week ending May 10 fell by 24,000 to 297,000 from the previous week’s revised total of 321,000. Analysts had expected jobless claims to fall by 1,000 to 320,000 last week.

Elsewhere, the New York Fed said its manufacturing index climbed to a two-plus-year high of 19.01 in May from a reading of 1.29 in April, far surpassing market calls for a rise to 5.00 this month.

On the other hand, U.S. industrial production dropped 0.6% last month, confounding expectations for a 0.1% rise. March's figure was revised up to a 0.9% increase from a previously estimated 0.7% gain.

U.S consumer inflation rates came in better than expected as well, though concerns arose after investors digested the numbers.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported earlier that the U.S. consumer price index rose to 0.3% in April from 0.2% in March, in line with market expectations.

The U.S. core consumer price index, which excludes food and energy items, rose by 0.2% last month, more than the expected 0.1% uptick, after a 0.2% gain in March.

On Thursday, however, the producer price index came in much better than expected, and the consumer inflation rate's inability to maintain the same pace as its wholesale counterpart softened the dollar somewhat by stoking concerns surrounding the strength of U.S. demand for goods and services.

The U.S. producer price index increased by 0.6% last month, beating forecasts for a 0.2% gain, after rising 0.5% in March.

The core producer price index advanced 0.5% last month, compared to expectations for a 0.2% increase, after rising 0.6% in March.

The Federal Reserve views core prices as a better gauge of longer-term inflationary pressure because they exclude the volatile food and energy categories.

Meanwhile, the single currency saw pressures of its own after Eurostat reported the euro zone’s gross domestic product grew just 0.2% in the first quarter, missing expectations for a 0.4% growth rate. On a year-over-year basis the bloc’s economy expanded 0.9%, falling short of expectations for growth of 1.1%.

Separately, Eurostat reported that the annual rate of inflation in the euro zone came in unchanged at 0.7% in April, in line with forecasts. The inflation rate is still well below the ECB's 2% target.

Separately, European Central Bank Vice President Vitor Constancio told the Wall Street Journal earlier that the central bank was open to more monetary easing and was determined to act swiftly if required.

The euro was down against the pound, with EUR/GBP down 0.13% to 0.8168, and down against the yen, with EUR/JPY down 0.43% at 139.14.

On Friday, the U.S. is to round up the week with reports on building permits and housing starts, and a preliminary reading on consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan.

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