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Forex - AUD/USD weekly outlook: March 29 – April 2

Published 03/28/2010, 05:32 AM
AUD/USD
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Investing.com – The Australian dollar fell to a 3-week low against the greenback last week, as fears over sovereign debt in the euro zone sapped risk appetite.

AUD/USD reached 0.9041 at the close of trade on Friday, its lowest rate since March 5. The pair is likely to find support at 0.8935, the low of March 1, and resistance at 0.9252, the high of March 17.

Next week, the United States is scheduled to publish a key report on unemployment claims. Industry groups are also set to release data on the U.S. job market, manufacturing sector and consumer confidence.

Australia, meanwhile, will release data on building approvals, retail sales, private sector credit and its trade balance. Private reports will also be published in the country on home sales, inflation and the manufacturing sector.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect AUD/USD.

Monday, March 29

An industry group, the Housing Industry Association, will publish a monthly report on new home sales in Australia, a leading indicator of economic health.

Also Monday, the U.S. will release data on consumer inflation, as well as reports on personal spending and personal income. U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, meanwhile, is set to speak at an event in Washington, D.C. Traders will scrutinize his comments for clues to future shifts in monetary policy.

Tuesday, March 30

Dr. Guy Debelle, an assistant governor (Financial Markets) at the Reserve Bank of Australia, the country's central bank, is due to speak at an event in Sydney. Traders will scrutinize his comments for clues to future shifts in monetary policy.

Later in the day, Standard & Poor's will release its U.S. house price index and an industry group, the Conference Board, will publish data on U.S. consumer confidence.

Wednesday, March 31

Australia will publish a monthly report on building approvals, a useful gauge of future construction activity. The country will also release data on retail sales, and the RBA will publish a report on private sector credit.

Also Wednesday, the data processing firm ADP will publish a closely watched report on U.S. nonfarm employment change.

Thursday, April 1

The Australian Industry Group will publish its monthly Manufacturing Index, a survey of about 200 manufacturers that asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries and inventories. The Melbourne Institute, a research center, will also publish its Inflation Gauge, a monthly CPI.

Australia will then release data on its trade balance, the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services, and the RBA will publish a report on annual commodity prices.

Also Thursday, the U.S. will publish an important weekly report on unemployment claims, and an industry group will publish a manufacturing PMI for the country.

Friday, April 2

Australia will hold a bank holiday for Good Friday.

The U.S. will end the week with the publication of key data on non-farm employment change and the country's unemployment rate. The country will also release a report on average hourly earnings.

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