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EUR/USD moves lower, amid last-ditch efforts for a Greek Debt resolution

Published 06/26/2015, 05:23 PM
Updated 06/26/2015, 05:30 PM
EUR/USD moved under 1.12 on Friday ahead of Greek deadlines next week
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Investing.com -- EUR/USD fell mildly on Friday extending losses from one session earlier, amid increased optimism in Greek Debt negotiations with emergency meetings set to resume on Saturday.

The currency pair traded between 1.1131 and 1.1220 during Friday's session, paring earlier losses in U.S. afternoon trading. For the week, the euro closed lower against its American counterpart on four of five sessions losing 1.75% during the stretch. At one point on Monday EUR/USD moved above 1.14, before plunging on Tuesday below 1.12 during one of its worst sessions of the year.

EUR/USD likely gained support at 1.1080, the low from June 8 and was met with resistance at 1.1438, the high from June 18.

Following two days of intense, high-level talks in Brussels, Greece prime minister Alexis Tsipras was scheduled to return to Athens on Friday to discuss a revised proposal with members of his cabinet and parliament. The new proposal from Athens’ international creditors includes the release of €15.5 billion of frozen aid in four installments, a package that could allow Greece to meet its debt obligations to the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank through November. In exchange, the proposal requires Greece to enact significant pension and tax reforms that the cash-strapped nation has resisted for months. European Commissioner president Jean-Claude Juncker and Tsipras met well into Thursday evening in an effort to hash out the critical issues.

The euro group of finance ministers is set to meet again on Saturday afternoon, where Greece will be asked whether it will accept a revised deal from its troika of creditors from the IMF, ECB and European Commission. If Athens declines the proposal, the group will then concentrate its efforts on limiting the consequences of a Greek default on its sovereign debt.

On Tuesday, the final €7.2 billion of a €240 bailout to Greece will expire if the two sides cannot reach a deal. Greece is also facing a deadline on Tuesday to meet a bundled €1.5 billion loan repayment to the IMF stemming from a separate bailout program in 2010. It is unlikely Greece will be able to make the payment without a last-minute deal.

In the U.S., the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index surged to 96.1 for June, well above the high end of analysts’ forecasts for a reading of 95.2. The 13.1 gain since a reading from late-March represents the survey’s highest monthly gain since March, 1991. It also comes one day after the U.S. Department of Commerce said consumer spending surged 0.9% on a monthly basis in May, bolstered by a 0.5% uptick in personal income.

The news pushed U.S. government bond prices lower, as yields on 10-Year Treasuries soared more than eight basis points to 2.48%, their highest level since late-September. Yields on German 10-Year bunds rose six basis points to 0.92%. They are now up 38 basis points on the month.

The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the strength of the greenback versus a basket of six other major currencies, gained 0.22% to 95.60. USD/JPY gained 0.17% to 123.85, while USD/CAD fell 0.04% to 1.2322.

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