🎈 Up Big Today: Find today's biggest gainers with our free screenerTry Stock Screener

EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX rebounds, consolidation period seen

Published 04/13/2011, 12:15 PM
Updated 04/13/2011, 12:20 PM

* Currencies bounce back from steep losses this week

* Real, Mexican peso set for range trading

* Brazil real firms 0.25 pct, Mexico peso 0.31 pct

By Michael O'Boyle

MEXICO CITY, April 13 (Reuters) - Latin America's biggest currencies firmed on Wednesday on a rebound in U.S. stocks and commodity prices, and Chile's peso got a boost from an aggressive interest rate hike on Tuesday.

Brazil's real bounced back after recording its biggest slump in three months in the previous session. Mexico's peso was also recovering from its sharpest losses in a month.

Traders said Latin American currencies would likely trade in a range bounded by recent highs as investors eye whether riskier assets like stocks, commodities and emerging market currencies can resume a recent uptrend or lose steam.

"We should be in a period of consolidation of the recent gains and waiting for some data to see if we can continue rallying, or if we could see a correction," said Jorge Perez Duarte, a managing director for emerging markets at TD Securities in Toronto.

"You really need to see stronger growth to keep fueling this rally and the risk is to see weaker growth," he added.

Investors will watch upcoming data in major economies such as the United States to see if high oil prices are weighing on global growth.

Mexico's peso firmed 0.31 percent to 11.7985 per dollar after pulling back this week from its strongest level since October 2008.

Backing Wednesday's rebound, U.S. stocks rose after JPMorgan Chase's earnings beat expectations and spurred bets that other banks' results will be strong. [.N]

Solid economic growth across Latin America, as well as expectations that U.S. interest rates will remain ultra-low for some time, are supporting the region's currencies and encouraging investors to snap up assets on dips.

Investors have been borrowing funds in low-yield currencies such as the dollar to buy Latin America's higher-yielding debt.

Brazil's real bid 0.25 percent firmer to 1.587 per dollar. Investors are betting that Brazilian authorities are unwilling to implement stronger capital controls to contain the real's recent gains.

But central bank dollar purchases could contain the currency's advance after the real surged around 5 percent in the prior 2 weeks to hit its strongest since August 2008.

"I do not think they will take more drastic steps, because inflation is out of control," said Mario Battistel at brokerage Fair. "Let us see if the central bank interventions can hold the real," he added.

Chile's peso bid 0.37 percent stronger at 472 per dollar. Chile's central bank raised its benchmark interest rate on Tuesday to the highest level in more than two years, as it tries to get ahead of inflation expectations. [ID:nN12148345] (Additional reporting by Nathalia Ferreira in Sao Paulo; Editing by Dan Grebler)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.