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Dollar poised for weekly gain after Fed officials signal rate hikes

Published 03/24/2016, 11:08 PM
Updated 03/24/2016, 11:10 PM
© Reuters. A U.S. one-hundred dollar bill and Japanese 10,000 yen notes are spread in Tokyo
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By Lisa Twaronite

TOKYO (Reuters) - The dollar was on track on Friday for a weekly gain of over 1 percent against a basket of currencies after a chorus of U.S. Federal Reserve officials signaled more interest rate increases than the market had been pricing in.

The latest was St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, who said on Thursday that another U.S. interest rate hike "may not be far off" and noted labor market improvement.

"There's not a lot that will come" in terms of data before the U.S. central bank's April 26-27 policy meeting, Bullard told reporters. "I'd like to be confident that inflation expectations are stabilizing, and hopefully increasing."

This week's hawkish remarks followed the central bank's March meeting last week, in which the Fed halved its rate hike expectations to two from four for this year.

Trading globally was likely to be thin, with many key markets, including Australia, the UK and the United States, closed to observe Good Friday. Some will be closed Monday as well after Sunday's Easter holiday.

The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six rival currencies, added about 0.2 percent to 96.285 (DXY). It was poised to rise 1.3 percent for the week, its first such gain this month.

The dollar edged up 0.1 percent against the yen to 113.04 <JPY=>. It was up 1.3 percent for the week and well above last week's 17-month low of 110.67 yen.

"The 114 yen handle will come in view for the dollar if next week's U.S. data show a good pace of job growth, stronger inflation and a bottoming out of manufacturing sector sentiment," said Masafumi Yamamoto, chief FX strategist at Mizuho Securities in Tokyo.

A batch of U.S. indicators are scheduled to be released next week, such as Monday's core personal consumption expenditures price (PCE) index, Thursday's Chicago purchasing management index (PMI) and Friday's non-farm payrolls report.

Data earlier on Friday showed that Japan's consumer inflation was flat in the year to February as low energy costs and weak consumption put a lid on price growth, keeping pressure on the Bank of Japan to add more stimulus even after easing policy less than two months ago.

The euro slipped 0.1 percent to $1.1162 <EUR=>, below last week's one-month peak of $1.1342. It was on track to lose 0.9 percent in a week marred by attacks on Brussels for which Islamic State claimed responsibility.

The attacks added to pressure on sterling and sent it to its weakest trade-weighted basis in two years on fears that British voters would decide at a poll in June to leave the European Union.

© Reuters. A U.S. one-hundred dollar bill and Japanese 10,000 yen notes are spread in Tokyo

Sterling was last down 0.3 percent at $1.4113 <GBP=>, on track for a 2.5 percent loss on the week.

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