CANADA FX DEBT-C$ ends firmer, fails to breach parity

Published 10/13/2010, 04:27 PM
Updated 10/13/2010, 04:28 PM
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* Canada dollar ends at 99.52 U.S. cents

* Flirts with parity several times

* Bonds sag as equities rally

* Canada 2-yr bond auction attracts firm demand (Updates to close)

TORONTO, Oct 13 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar flirted with U.S. dollar parity on Wednesday, hitting its highest level since late April, as the market looked forward to an injection of cheap cash into the U.S. economy by the Federal Reserve.

The expectation of quantitative easing by the U.S. central bank -- essentially printing money to buy assets -- gave a lift to equities markets and a bid to commodities. [MKTS/GLOB]

The minutes of the Fed's latest policy-setting session, released on Tuesday, showed officials had a "sense that (more) accommodation may be appropriate before long," to help get the economy back on track. [ID:nN12191658]

Canada depends on the U.S. economy to take in about three-quarters of its exports, which are tilted toward commodities like oil, metals, and natural gas.

The Canadian currency came within a whisper of parity with the U.S. dollar several times during the North American session but never rose beyond C$1.0011 to the U.S. dollar, or 99.89 U.S. cents, the currency's highest point against the greenback since April 27.

"It's still a very psychologically important level for dollar/Canada. The fact that we do see it being tested a number of times perhaps talks a little bit of a lack of conviction on the part of markets to really push forward," said David Tulk, senior macro strategist at TD Securities.

"At this point, it's really a U.S. dollar weakness story that is shared across all major crosses right now."

The Canadian dollar finished at C$1.0048 to the U.S. dollar, or 99.52 U.S. cents, up from Tuesday's finish of C$1.0106 to the U.S. dollar, or 98.95 U.S. cents.

It looks set to bounce back above its U.S. counterpart for the second time this year, but a slowing economy and flat Canadian interest rates suggest a short-lived rally with little underlying strength. [ID:nN13265832]

Camilla Sutton, a currency strategist at Scotia Capital, said the Canadian dollar would likely at least touch parity, as it is "essentially there right now".

She said the stronger currency helps confirm that the Bank of Canada will stand pat on interest rates in the near term, after raising its benchmark rate three consecutive times this year to 1 percent.

"Because it's been a U.S. dollar move, and not a Canadian fundamentals story, that makes it almost more important for the Bank of Canada," she said. "What that actually does is it actually tightens policy for them."

BONDS SAG

Bond prices fell as global equity markets gathered steam, dampening the appeal of safe-haven government debt.

Toronto's resource-heavy stock index hit its highest level in more than two years, while major U.S. stock indexes also climbed on rising expectations of additional stimulus from the Fed. Strong U.S. corporate results from JPMorgan and Intel also lifted sentiment.

"The mood generally in bond markets isn't quite as exuberant as it has been in recent weeks, in part because the strong performance of equities is finally beginning to weigh on the bond market," said Mark Chandler, head of Canadian fixed income and currency strategy at RBC Capital Markets.

The two-year bond fell 4 Canadian cents to yield 1.395 percent, while the 10-year bond was down 10 Canadian cents to yield 2.739 percent.

Canada's auction of two-year bonds met with firm demand on Wednesday, producing an average yield of 1.419 percent and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.425. [ID:nN13258719] (Reporting by Ka Yan Ng and John McCrank; editing by Rob Wilson)

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