NVDA Q3 Earnings Alert: Why our AI stock picker is still holding Nvidia stockRead More

CANADA FX DEBT-C$ closes higher but off high; bonds drop

Published 12/21/2009, 04:35 PM
Updated 12/21/2009, 04:39 PM

* C$ rises to 94.22 U.S. cents

* Bonds fall as risk appetite grows

* Canada retail sales gain points to GDP rise (Updates to close, adds details)

By Ka Yan Ng

TORONTO, Dec 21 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar rose against the U.S. currency on Monday as investors' thirst for risk was underpinned by strong equity markets and oil prices in thin, pre-holiday trading.

The Canadian dollar hit its highest level in just over a week during the European session, at 94.90 U.S. cents, but pared gains throughout the session as the U.S. dollar mounted a rally against several major currencies.

Better than expected domestic retail sales data also helped the Canadian dollar retain gains against the greenback, but did little to budge it out of its recent ranges.

Higher auto sales helped push retail trade up by 0.8 percent in October to a level nearly as high as a year earlier, before the sharp declines seen in late 2008, Statistics Canada said. [ID:nN21217072]

"The Canadian dollar, even though it gained significantly overnight, has really been unable to hold those gains. They come in the midst of U.S. dollar buying everywhere else," said Jack Spitz, managing director of foreign exchange at National Bank Financial.

"Big win for Canada on the crosses, but overall against the U.S. dollar it's still trading midpoint of a range that has been well-defined for a number of months."

Spitz noted the Canadian dollar hit some key levels against currencies such as the euro and sterling, while against the greenback, the 20-, 50- and 90-day moving averages were all within 112 basis points of one another.

The Canadian dollar finished at C$1.0614 to the U.S. dollar, or 94.22 U.S. cents, up from C$1.0660 to the U.S. dollar, or 93.81 U.S. cents, at Friday's close.

Traders bought back the greenback after selling it heavily for most of the year and prepared for U.S. economic growth to pick up steam in 2010. [FRX/]

"The debate continues whether the U.S. dollar is slipping out of its traditional role and into pro-growth mode from a safe-haven currency. I don't think the final word has been said on that subject yet, but for the time being we've seen the U.S. dollar do quite nicely," said Eric Lascelles, chief economics and rates strategist at TD Securities.

"Canada is defying the trend here. The retail sales numbers are helping a little bit."

The price of oil , a key Canadian export, rose towards $74 a barrel, while Toronto's main stock index also rallied. The Canadian dollar often takes direction from the stock and energy markets as a barometer of risk appetite.

BONDS FALL

Canadian bond prices were lower across the curve as investors found favor with riskier assets such as stocks.

Major North American equity markets finished nearly 1 percent higher, bolstered by oil prices and broker upgrades of key issues. [.TO] [STXNEWS/US]

The domestic retail sales data also reinforced expectations of a consumer-led gain in real gross domestic product for October, which would bolster the fourth-quarter reading of growth after Canada barely exited recession in the last quarter.

That would pave the way for eventual rate increases by the Bank of Canada if the strength in the economy is sustained. The central bank has pledged to keep rates low until the end of the first half of 2010.

"Often, with retail sales out of the way, the market can look forward to GDP. It does seem that Canada will get a second positive figure there and in all likelihood hit quite an attractive fourth quarter," said Lascelles.

October GDP is due on Wednesday, with analysts expecting a reading of 0.3 percent growth.

In another positive economic sign, consumer confidence in Canada edged higher in December after dropping for two straight months. [ID:nN21236500]

The two-year government bond fell 10 Canadian cents to C$99.79 to yield 1.360 percent, while the 30-year bond dropped 79 Canadian cents to C$114.95 to yield 4.088 percent.

Canadian notes outperformed U.S. bonds, with the 10-year yield spread widening to 16.8 basis points below its U.S. counterpart from 13.9 basis points the previous session.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.