CANADA FX DEBT-C$, bonds slip in cautious trade ahead of US jobs

Published 09/02/2010, 04:41 PM
Updated 09/02/2010, 04:44 PM

* C$ slips to 94.92 U.S. cents

* Bonds prices fall, hurt by positive U.S. data

* Markets cautious ahead of Friday's U.S. jobs report (Updates prices to market close)

TORONTO, Sept 2 (Reuters) - Canada's dollar turned lower against the U.S. currency on Thursday, giving up some of the previous session's strong gains, with market players guarded a day before a key U.S. employment report.

Investors will be closely monitoring August's non-farm payrolls report on Friday for signs of whether the U.S. economy can forge a stronger recovery after Thursday's data eased fears of a new recession.

The monthly jobs report is expected to show a third straight decline. [ID:nN31235915]

"We really did have a tremendous day yesterday and we have non-farm, which is looming tomorrow, so I think as we await that, there is a holding pattern going on in some currencies," said Camilla Sutton, chief currency strategist at Scotia Capital.

"Canada has just given up some of yesterday's gains."

The Canadian dollar closed at C$1.0535 to the U.S. dollar, or 94.92 U.S. cents, down from C$1.0520 to the U.S. dollar, or 95.06 U.S. cents, at Wednesday's close.

It jumped more than a penny on Wednesday as risk appetite rose on stronger than expected Chinese and U.S. economic data, which soothed investor fears about the lagging recovery.

Thursday's U.S. data showed pending sales of previously owned U.S. homes rebounded unexpectedly in July and new claims for jobless benefits fell last week.

But the Canadian dollar turned lower even as riskier assets such as North American stock markets held firm, while influential oil prices were also up on the day.

A Reuters poll on Thursday found global currency strategists expect the Canadian dollar will be little changed against the greenback over the next few months, and gain slightly after that. They said the chances of it returning to parity with the U.S. dollar have diminished. [CAD/POLL]

BONDS HOLD LOWER

Domestic bonds were weaker across the curve as double-dip fears receded on the positive economic data.

But the big test is still Friday's U.S. jobs report, which could firm up the market's expectations of the Bank of Canada's next interest rate move, given that the central bank has said it is monitoring developments in the United States.

The sputtering U.S. economy has displaced European debt problems as the top worry for Canadian policymakers, but even as gloom settles over the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of Canada looks set to raise rates for a third time this year. [ID:nN01259189]

The bank's Sept. 8 rate decision is one of the closest calls in some time. Markets are pricing in an almost even probability of a hike based on yields on overnight index swaps, according to a Reuters calculation.

Another Reuters poll on Thursday showed most primary dealers and global forecasters expect the Bank of Canada to boost interest rates next week but then step to the sidelines for at least the rest of the year. [CA/POLL]

Canada's two-year bond dipped 4 Canadian cents to yield 1.28 percent, while the 10-year issue dropped 15 Canadian cents to yield 2.864 percent.

In new issues, the province of British Columbia sold C$500 million of bonds due 2042. [CA-TNC]

Canadian assets were little changed by the European Central Bank's decision to keep interest rates on hold at a record low, as expected, amid a lopsided economic recovery and continued worries about the banking sector. [ID:nFRK015200] (Reporting by Ka Yan Ng and Claire Sibonney; editing by Rob Wilson)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.