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Forex - USD/CHF weekly outlook: October 24-28

Published 10/23/2011, 07:12 AM
USD/CHF
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Investing.com - The U.S. dollar ended the week sharply lower against the Swiss franc on Friday, tumbling to a one-month low as hopes for a definitive solution to the debt crisis in the euro zone dampened demand for safe haven dollar.

USD/CHF hit 0.8804 on Friday, the pair's lowest since September 21; the pair subsequently consolidated at 0.8821 by close of trade on Friday, tumbling 1.08% over the week.

The pair is likely to find support at 0.8701, the low of September 21 and resistance at 0.9110, the high of October 12.

Market sentiment strengthened on Friday, after German officials said that there were several possible ways of involving the International Monetary Fund in expanding the capacity of the euro zone’s bailout fund, the European Financial Stability Facility.

EU leaders continued to hold talks over the weekend to work out a plan to recapitalize the region’s banks, bolster the firepower of the EFSF and restructure Greek sovereign debt.

A comprehensive response to the two-year old sovereign-debt crisis was expected to be unveiled at a summit Sunday or at a follow-up meeting on Wednesday.

On Thursday, official data showed that Switzerland's trade balance rose more-than-expected in September, climbing CHF1.85 billion from a CHF0.76 billion decline the previous month.

Analysts had expected the trade surplus to rise CHF1.37 billion in September. 

Risk sentiment was hit earlier in the week, after Moody's Investors Service downgraded Spain's credit rating for the third time since 2010, to A1 from Aa2, citing high levels of debt in the banking and corporate sectors.

Ahead of the coming week investors will be closely watching developments in the euro zone, amid hopes for a breakthrough on dealing with the deepening debt crisis in the region. Markets will also be eyeing Thursday’s U.S. data on third quarter economic growth in order to gauge the strength of the U.S. recovery.

In addition, Switzerland is to publish the KOF economic barometer.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets.

Monday, October 24

In the U.S., Federal Open Market Committee member William Dudley is due to speak.

Tuesday, October 25

Switzerland’s UBS bank is to produce its consumption indicator, an important indicator of economic health.

Later Tuesday, the U.S. is to publish industry data on house price inflation as well as a report on consumer confidence, which is a leading indicator of consumer spending.

Wednesday, October 26

In the euro zone, European Union leaders are to hold a one-day economic summit to discuss measures to stem the spreading debt crisis in the single-currency bloc.

The U.S. is to release government data on durable goods orders, a leading indicator of production. The country is also to publish official data on new home sales and crude oil stockpiles.

Thursday, October 27

The U.S. is to publish preliminary data on third quarter gross domestic product, the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health, as well as the GDP price index, the broadest measure of inflation.

The country is also to publish its weekly data on initial jobless claims and an industry report on pending home sales.

Friday, October 28

Switzerland is to publish the KOF economic barometer, which is designed to predict the direction of the economy over the following six months.

The U.S. is to round up the week with a flurry of data on personal income, personal spending, employment costs and consumer prices. Meanwhile, the University of Michigan is to publish revised data on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations.

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