Black Friday is Now! Don’t miss out on up to 60% OFF InvestingProCLAIM SALE

GLOBAL MARKETS-European banks recover ahead of test results

Published 07/15/2011, 07:04 AM
EUR/CHF
-

* European shares dip ahead of stress test results

* Euro recovers against dollar, Swiss francs

* Gold eases after nine sessions winning streak

By Dominic Lau

LONDON, July 15 (Reuters) - Investors squared up on Friday before the release of European bank stress tests, with European banking shares flat after a sell-off that has knocked 2.5 percent off the region's stock markets this week.

Worries the euro zone debt crisis was spreading to Italy have driven Italian bond yields up half a percent since last Friday and slashed valuations of financial sector firms across the region.

The euro has borne up relatively well against the dollar due to parallel concerns over the United States' own debt troubles and hints further monetary could yet be on the cards there, potentially flooding global markets with dollars.

But investors remain deeply concerned by Europe's inability to find a broader solution to a debt crisis that could eventually lead to a series of defaults and have wide-ranging implications for public finances and banks worldwide.

European Banking Authority test results, due to be published at 1600 GMT after markets close, are expected to show that as many as 15 lenders need more capital to withstand a prolonged recession, with criticism growing that the tests do not encompass the impact of a Greek default.

"I'd be neutral going into (the stress test results) but until there's a solution to the bigger picture problems that people see as tangible and could work, Bunds are the only place to be," Alan McQuaid, chief economist at Bloxham Stockbrokers, said.

European banks were flat after falling as much as 1.2 percent earlier.

The FTSEurofirst 300 index of leading European shares was down 0.2 percent, while the MSCI All-Country World Index eased 0.1 percent. In Asia, Japan's Nikkei average closed 0.4 percent higher.

Yields on 10-year German Bunds were down 1.5 basis points at 2.728 percent, while Greece's 10-year government bond yields rose 20 basis points to 17.38 percent.

DEBT CRISIS

Deutsche Bank analysts said in a report that political disunity in tackling the debt crisis could prompt a slide in equity valuations of 35 percent on world stocks, "if the situation deteriorates into a full-blown financial crisis on the scale of the fallout from the collapse of Lehman Brothers."

That is an extreme scenario, but critics say the banking health check fails to reflect expectations that Greece will default on its debt in some form, which would pile up losses for German and French banks holding its bonds.

The cost of insuring European bank debt against debt default rose, with the iTraxx Senior Financials index up by 4.9 basis points to 183.50 basis points.

The euro was up 0.2 percent at $1.4170 and up 0.4 percent at 1.1581 Swiss francs .

"We think EUR/CHF may be the cleanest vehicle to express a bearish view on eurozone systemic tension," brokerage Nomura said in a note.

"The challenge posed by the turmoil in the Italian bond market is sustainable and in our view, the euro is set to underperform as long as bond market tension in Italy and Spain persists."

An impasse over raising the United States' debt ceiling may continue to weigh on the dollar, with ratings agency Standard & Poor's following rival Moody's in warning it could cut the country's prized AAA credit rating.

The dollar was steady at 79.12 yen and down 0.2 percent against a basket of currencies .

U.S. stock index futures rose 0.1 to 0.3 percent, indicating a firm open for Wall Street on Friday ahead of Citigroup quarterly results.

Gold eased 0.4 percent after hitting a record high of $1,594.16 an ounce in the previous sessions due to investors using it as a refuge from the tensions in other markets.

Brent crude slipped 0.4 percent to trade below $116 a barrel, while copper prices rose 0.2 percent to trade above $9,600 a tonne. (Additional reporting by Atul Prakash, William James, Jessica Mortimer and Simon Jessop; graphics by Scott Barber and Vincent Flasseur; editing by Patrick Graham)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.