Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

Global exports regain pre-crisis level--Dutch CPB

Published 01/21/2011, 11:13 AM
Updated 01/21/2011, 11:16 AM

* Export volumes above April 2008 level

* Imports not yet fully recovered

By Jonathan Lynn

GENEVA, Jan 21 (Reuters) - World exports have finally topped levels last seen before the financial crisis that started in 2008, giving a further sign of global economic recovery, figures from the Dutch CPB research institute showed on Friday.

The credit crunch and subsequent recession led to the biggest slump in world trade since World War Two. Trade volumes began to recover in mid-2009 and grew strongly in 2010 as firms rebuilt inventories and took advantage of the economic upturn.

The institute's latest world trade monitor showed that its index of global merchandise exports, set at 100 in the year 2000, had reached 164.1 in November 2010 -- above the previous high of 163.6 in April 2008.

Global imports have still not regained pre-crisis levels so the overall level of world trade has not yet fully recovered ground lost in the crisis. The sum of global imports and exports should be the same, but statistical differences in different countries often lead to a disparity.

The institute, whose data are used by the World Bank and European Commission, said the average increase in global trade volumes in the three months ended November had been 1.0 percent, up from 0.2 percent in the three months to October.

This increase in the rate of change in the statistically smoothed figures, known as momentum, was the first since January 2010, it said.

If continued, this would suggest that trade -- and hence the world economy as a whole -- is beginning to pick up again. The recovery had slowed down in recent months with the completion of the initial wave of inventory-building.

Looking at the more volatile monthly figures, world trade volume increased by 2.3 percent in November from October, after an upwardly revised 1.0 percent rise in October.

That largely reflected a surge in trade flows in and out of emerging economies, whose imports jumped 5.1 percent in the month, with the strongest growth in Asia. (For full CPB monitor go to http://bit.ly/fAo8HN )

(Editing by Mark Heinrich)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.