🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

Analysts nudge up forecasts for Australia, New Zealand dollars: Reuters poll

Published 07/06/2016, 10:24 PM
Updated 07/06/2016, 10:30 PM
© Reuters. A one Australian dollar coin is seen in this picture illustration taken in Sydney
AUD/USD
-
NZD/USD
-
GBP/AUD
-
AU10YT=RR
-
NZ10YT=RR
-

By Wayne Cole

SYDNEY (Reuters) - Analysts have nudged up their outlook for the Australian and New Zealand dollars as relatively high bond rates at home and a plunge in the British pound made the Antipodean currencies more attractive to yield-hungry investors.

A Reuters poll of 55 analysts saw the Aussie at $0.7300 in one month, a cent higher than in the June poll. Still, the general expectations was that it would ease over time reaching $0.7200 in three months and $0.7000 in a year.

The market, however, seemed more bullish given the Aussie was trading at $0.7517 on Thursday. It has been in demand since Britain's vote to leave the European Union pummelled the pound and intensified pressure for new policy easing across the globe.

Sterling has dived 12 percent on the Aussie since the vote to reach A$1.7187 (GBPAUD=), levels last seen in late 2013.

Central banks in the UK, Europe and Japan are now expected to ease further while the market no longer sees any chance of a hike from the U.S. Federal Reserve this year.

That sea change has offset expectations the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will cut its own rates a quarter point to 1.5 percent in coming months, likely in August.

Australia likewise offers bond yields well above those available from its rich world peers. Ten-year paper (AU10YT=RR) pays 1.87 percent against 1.36 percent in the United States, 0.76 percent in the UK and -0.17 percent in Germany.

The same forces are seen supporting the New Zealand dollar . The poll of 49 analysts produced a one-month forecast of $0.7000, up from $0.6700 in the June poll. It was seen at $0.6800 in three months and $0.6500 on a one-year horizon.

Again, the market is more upbeat having taken the kiwi to $0.7162 currently from as low as $0.6676 as recently as May.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) holds its next policy review on Aug. 11 and markets are divided on whether it will cut the 2.25 percent cash rate given a recent run of better domestic data. [NZ/POLL]

© Reuters. A one Australian dollar coin is seen in this picture illustration taken in Sydney

New Zealand's 10-year bonds offer an even fatter 2.26 percent (NZ10YT=RR), the highest in the developed world.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.