💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair ValueSee Undervalued Stocks

UK manufacturing dips unexpectedly in Aug-CIPS

Published 09/01/2009, 04:30 AM
Updated 09/01/2009, 04:33 AM

* Surprise drop in headline figure masks strong components

* Jobs shed for 16th month but at slowest pace since June 08

* Orders-to-inventory ratio highest in over 5 years

By Christina Fincher

LONDON, Sept 1 (Reuters) - Britain's manufacturing sector dipped unexpectedly in August as employers cut jobs and inventories and the pace of pick-up in new orders slowed, purchasing managers' data showed on Tuesday.

The headline manufacturing purchasing managers' index fell to 49.7 last month from a downwardly-revised 50.2 in July. That was the first fall since February and well below the consensus forecast for a rise to 51.5.

However, a breakdown of the data suggested some reasons for optimism. Output rose at its fastest pace since December 2007 and stocks of finished goods fell at their second-fastest rate on record.

"The data are a mixed bag," said Rob Dobson, senior economist at Markit, the compiler of the survey.

"The recovery in output continued to strengthen and came from a broad sector and company-size base. However, the slower growth of new orders, continued substantial job losses and the surprising weakness exhibited by the investment goods sector are all causes for concern."

The headline manufacturing index rose above the 50.0 mark that separates contraction from expansion for the first time in over a year in July, raising hopes the sector could capitalise on a more competitive currency and aid a return to growth.

Tuesday's figures may provide a set-back to such hopes but will not dent them completely.

The new orders index slipped to 52.4 in August from a downwardly revised 54.8 in July but held in expansionary territory for the second consecutive month.

The new export orders index pointed to a stabilisation in August, ending more than a year of contraction, and a sharp fall in stocks of finished goods suggested firms may be forced to rachet up production should demand improve.

Indeed, the orders-to-inventory ratio, a forward-looking activity indicator, rose to its highest level since the start of 2004.

"Manufacturers continued to focus on trimming costs and excess capacity in August," the survey noted. "This was reflected in lower staffing levels and holdings of pre- and post-production stocks."

The way the PMI is calculated accentuates the pace of change rather than absolute levels and Markit's Dobson said it was not surprising the index should have tailed off after sharp rises earlier this year.

"The recovery is likely to continue, but may become more muted later in the year once the initial rebound and monetary and fiscal stimuli have run their course," he said. (Editing by Andy Bruce)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.