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US small business confidence rises to 8-month high in July, NFIB says

Published 08/08/2023, 06:03 AM
Updated 08/08/2023, 06:12 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A view shows Main Street in Elk Point, South Dakota, U.S. June 3, 2017. REUTERS/Ryan Henriksen/File Photo

By Safiyah Riddle

(Reuters) - U.S. small business confidence edged up to an eight-month high in July, as concerns about inflation fell to the lowest level in nearly two years, a report released on Tuesday showed.

The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) said its Small Business Optimism Index rose nine-tenths of a point to 91.1 last month, hitting the highest level since November 2022. Disinflation in July appeared to resonate with small businesses as only 21% stated that inflation was their biggest concern - the lowest reading since November 2021 and down 13 points from a year earlier.

The continued improvement in optimism appeared to translate in investments in labor and capital investment plans: More than a quarter of firms reported plans to invest in capital, and 17% reported plans to increase employment, both 2 percentage points higher than in the prior month.

On top of that, small businesses recorded their least-pessimistic view of the near-term economic prospects since August 2021 as NFIB's general business conditions outlook index climbed 10 points to negative 30. U.S. small businesses have had a net negative view of the business climate since December 2020, the month after former President Donald Trump lost his re-election bid.

But softening consumer demand weakened confidence in the ability to benefit from consistent price growth, and the number of firms planning for price increases fell to a net 27% - the lowest reading since April.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A view shows Main Street in Elk Point, South Dakota, U.S. June 3, 2017. REUTERS/Ryan Henriksen/File Photo

That is welcome news for the Federal Reserve, whose 525 basis points worth of interest rate hikes also appear to be moderating demand for credit for small businesses: 62% said they were not interested in a loan, up 2 percentage points from June, and 25% reported all their credit needs met, a decrease of 2 percentage points from a month earlier.

Still, businesses notably didn't report that credit is getting harder to acquire, with an unchanged 6% saying their most recent loan was harder to get than the one before.

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