💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair ValueSee Undervalued Stocks

UK public inflation expectations at record high for coming year - BoE

Published 09/15/2022, 04:50 AM
Updated 09/15/2022, 05:30 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Shoppers walk next to the clubcard price branding inside a branch of a Tesco Extra Supermarket in London, Britain, February 10, 2022. Picture taken February 10, 2022. REUTERS/Paul Childs/File Photo

By David Milliken

LONDON (Reuters) -The British public's expectations for inflation over the coming year rose to a record high last month, although longer-term expectations eased from previous multi-year highs, a Bank of England survey showed on Thursday.

Public satisfaction with the central bank's control of inflation also fell to its lowest since the survey started in 1999, giving policymakers food for thought as they prepare to announce their next interest rate decision on Sept. 22.

The BoE survey took place from Aug. 5-8 - just after the BoE raised interest rates by half a percentage point for the first time since 1995, but before data showed consumer price inflation hit a 40-year high of 10.1% in July and steps by new Prime Minister Liz Truss to cap household energy bills.

Expectations for inflation "over the coming year" rose to a record 4.9% form 4.6% in the last survey in May, but those for "the twelve months after that" dropped to 3.2% from 3.4%, which had been the highest since 2013.

Expectations for inflation in five years' time fell to 3.1% from 3.5%, below the survey's long-run average.

The BoE focuses more on medium-term inflation expectations than those for the short term, which tend to be influenced more by recent moves in headline inflation, rather than longer-term views which the BoE thinks influence businesses' price-setting decisions and wages.

The fall in medium-term expectations in the BoE survey contrasts with the trend in a survey conducted by U.S. bank Citi on Aug. 24-25, which showed long-run expectations rose to a record 4.8% in August.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Shoppers walk next to the clubcard price branding inside a branch of a Tesco Extra Supermarket in London, Britain, February 10, 2022. Picture taken February 10, 2022. REUTERS/Paul Childs/File Photo

Economists polled by Reuters expect the BoE to raise interest rates by half a percentage point to 2.25% next week, while financial markets think a bigger increase to 2.5% is more likely.

Thursday's survey showed 33% of the public were unhappy with how the BoE was setting interest to control inflation, versus 25% who were satisfied, giving a net satisfaction of -7%, the lowest on record.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.