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Traders pare bets on March start to Fed rate cuts after strong jobs data

Published 01/05/2024, 08:50 AM
Updated 01/05/2024, 08:57 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: An eagle tops the U.S. Federal Reserve building's facade in Washington, July 31, 2013. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst/File Photo

(Reuters) - Traders on Friday tempered expectations for the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates in March after the U.S. government's monthly labor market report showed employers added more workers in December than economists had anticipated.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: An eagle tops the U.S. Federal Reserve building's facade in Washington, July 31, 2013. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst/File Photo

Futures contracts that settle to the Fed's policy rate indicated traders see only about a 50% chance of a rate reduction in March, versus the nearly 65% chance seen before the stronger-than-expected jobs data.

Traders also pared their view of how far the Fed will cut rates this year, and now expect the policy rate, currently in the 5.25%-5.5% range, to end the year just above 4%. They earlier had priced in a year-end policy rate below 4%.

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