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Thai headline CPI meets forecast in August, may have peaked

Published 09/05/2022, 02:47 AM
Updated 09/05/2022, 02:51 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A woman walks at the Maeklong market next to the train tracks, on the outskirts of Bangkok, Thailand September 21, 2016. REUTERS/Jorge Silva

By Kitiphong Thaichareon and Satawasin Staporncharnchai

BANGKOK (Reuters) - Thailand's headline inflation rate in August rose slightly from the previous month to a 14-year high, in line with forecast and reinforcing expectations of a further interest rate hike later this month.

The headline consumer price index (CPI) rose 7.86% in August from a year earlier, driven by energy prices and last year's low base, commerce ministry data showed on Monday. That compared with a forecast rise of 7.85% in a Reuters poll.

The pace, the fastest since July 2008, picked up from July's 7.61% rise and was far above the central bank's target range of 1% to 3%. Economists expect a further interest rate hike at the central bank's next meeting on Sept. 28.

The inflation rate, however, may have peaked in August, ministry official Ronnarong Phoolpipat told a news conference.

"Inflation stayed at 7% levels for three months in a row, suggesting it has peaked and will come down if the price situation continues like this," he said.

The ministry sees inflation at around 5% in the fourth quarter and a range of 5.5% to 6.5% in the whole of 2022, he said.

Government support measures, including an energy subsidy, and some price management have helped slow the rise of inflation, he said.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A woman walks at the Maeklong market next to the train tracks, on the outskirts of Bangkok, Thailand September 21, 2016. REUTERS/Jorge Silva

In August, the core CPI index, which strips out energy and fresh food prices, rose 3.15% from a year earlier, lower than a forecast 3.20% rise, but faster than July's 2.99%.

In the January-August period, headline inflation was 6.14% and the core rate was 2.16%.

 

 

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