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Thai finance ministry cuts 2022 GDP outlook over Ukraine war

Published 04/27/2022, 02:58 AM
Updated 04/27/2022, 03:01 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: People wearing face masks shop for street food in Chinatown amid the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Bangkok, Thailand, January 6, 2021. REUTERS/Athit Perawongmetha

By Orathai Sriring and Kitiphong Thaichareon

BANGKOK (Reuters) - Thailand's finance ministry on Wednesday reduced its 2022 economic growth forecast to 3.5% from a previous forecast of 4.0%, due to the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on global growth and inflation, a ministry official said.

Southeast Asia's second-largest economy, however, will still be supported by higher domestic spending and a recovery in tourism, as well as exports, Pornchai Theeravet, head of the ministry's fiscal policy office, told a news conference.

"The economy is still growing, accelerating from last year's 1.6% growth, but there remain risk factors," he said,

"The ministry is ready to take appropriate fiscal and monetary measures to ensure continued and broad-based economic recovery," he added.

The ministry now expects exports, a key driver of Thai growth, will rise 6.0% this year, up from the 3.6% previously projected, he said.

The tourism-dependent country is on track to receive 6.1 million foreign visitors this year, but below the 7 million projected earlier due partly to the impact of the Ukraine conflict on Russian tourist numbers and China's travel restrictions.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: People wearing face masks shop for street food in Chinatown amid the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Bangkok, Thailand, January 6, 2021. REUTERS/Athit Perawongmetha

The predicted tourist numbers would be far short of the nearly 40 million visitors during 2019, but a substantial improvement on the 428,000 foreign tourist arrivals in 2021.

From May 1, Thailand will scrap a mandatory pre-departure COVID-19 test for visitors in a bid to revive an industry that generally accounts for about 12% of gross domestic product.

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