50% Off! Beat the market in 2025 with InvestingProCLAIM SALE

Dollar gains as drop in US jobless claims boosts rate-hike bets

Published 07/19/2023, 09:14 PM
Updated 07/20/2023, 03:31 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: British Pound Sterling and U.S. Dollar notes are seen in this June 22, 2017 illustration photo.  REUTERS/Thomas White/Illustration/File Photo
AUD/USD
-
USD/CNY
-
DX
-

By Karen Brettell

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The dollar gained against a basket of currencies on Thursday after data showed that the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week, boosting expectations the Federal Reserve may continue hiking interest rates if the economy remains strong.

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 9,000 to a seasonally adjusted 228,000 for the week ended July 15, the Labor Department said. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 242,000 claims for the latest week.

The odds that the U.S. central bank would continue to raise rates after a widely expected 25-basis-point increase next week edged higher after the data. Fed funds futures traders are pricing in an additional 34 basis points of tightening, up from expectations of another 32 basis points of increases on Wednesday.

"The market has been searching for signs of layoffs in the U.S. and they simply aren't materializing," said Adam Button, chief currency analyst at ForexLive in Toronto. "Today's initial jobless claims number underscores again that the U.S. has an extremely strong labor market and that the Fed still has more work to do."

Other data on Thursday showed that U.S. existing home sales dropped to a five month-low in June, depressed by a chronic shortage of houses on the market that slowed the pace of decline in annual house prices.

Investors will focus on comments by Fed Chair Jerome Powell after the U.S. central bank's interest rate decision on Wednesday for any new clues on whether it is likely to raise rates again in September.

The dollar had tumbled after cooling consumer and producer inflation releases last week indicated that price pressures may be closer to returning to the Fed's 2% inflation target.

The dollar index rose 0.62% against a basket of currencies to 100.85. The euro fell 0.67% to $1.1127.

The European Central Bank will raise interest rates by 25 basis points on July 27, according to all economists in a Reuters poll, a slight majority of whom were now also expecting another hike in September.

Sterling continued to fall after data on Wednesday showed that Britain's rate of inflation was its slowest in more than a year at 7.9%, which is likely to ease some of the pressure on the Bank of England to keep raising interest rates sharply. A key British mortgage rate also fell on Thursday for the first time in nearly two months.

The British currency is down 0.61% at $1.2859 and has fallen from $1.3144 last Thursday, which was its highest level since April 2022.

The greenback rose 0.35% against the Japanese yen to 140.20.

Japan's government on Thursday forecast inflation sharply exceeding the central bank's 2% target this year, acknowledging broadening price rises that may keep alive market expectations of an end to ultra-low interest rates.

The greenback lost 0.77% against the offshore Chinese yuan to 7.1764.

China left lending benchmarks unchanged on Thursday, and its central bank added that it had raised a cross-border financing ratio that dictates the maximum any company can borrow as a proportion of its net assets, allowing domestic firms to tap overseas markets for funds.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 3:00PM (1900 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Dollar index 100.8500 100.2500 +0.62% -2.551% +100.9700 +100.0100

Euro/Dollar $1.1127 $1.1202 -0.67% +3.84% +$1.1229 +$1.1119

Dollar/Yen 140.1950 139.7150 +0.35% +6.94% +140.4900 +139.1100

Euro/Yen 156.00 156.44 -0.28% +11.19% +156.6100 +155.9300

Dollar/Swiss 0.8671 0.8586 +1.00% -6.21% +0.8683 +0.8562

Sterling/Dollar $1.2859 $1.2938 -0.61% +6.33% +$1.2964 +$1.2840

Dollar/Canadian 1.3176 1.3164 +0.09% -2.75% +1.3194 +1.3120

Aussie/Dollar $0.6781 $0.6771 +0.16% -0.51% +$0.6847 +$0.6766

Euro/Swiss 0.9647 0.9615 +0.33% -2.51% +0.9659 +0.9604

Euro/Sterling 0.8652 0.8655 -0.03% -2.17% +0.8698 +0.8651

NZ $0.6225 $0.6264 -0.57% -1.92% +$0.6308 +$0.6214

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway 10.0770 10.0310 +0.47% +2.69% +10.1000 +9.9240

Euro/Norway 11.2097 11.2484 -0.34% +6.82% +11.2584 +11.1280

© Reuters. U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File photo

Dollar/Sweden 10.3557 10.2632 +0.29% -0.50% +10.3704 +10.2187

Euro/Sweden 11.5231 11.4902 +0.29% +3.35% +11.5450 +11.4627

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.