Selloff or Market Correction? Either Way, Here's What to Do NextSee Overvalued Stocks

Russian rouble steadies on eve of central bank rate decision

Published 04/27/2023, 09:46 AM
Updated 04/27/2023, 09:51 AM
© Reuters. Russian Rouble coins are seen in this illustration taken, February 24, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
LCO
-

By Alexander Marrow

(Reuters) - The rouble steadied on Thursday, with the market looking ahead to Friday's interest rate decision, as favourable month-end tax payments propped the Russian currency up amid a significant drop in oil prices.

By 1322 GMT, the rouble was 0.2% stronger against the dollar at 81.44 and had gained 0.6% to trade at 89.76 versus the euro. It had firmed 0.3% against the yuan to 11.72.

The rouble has been under pressure from cheapening oil, a major source of income for Russia, but the tax period has so far allowed it to withstand external pressure, said Otkritie Research analyst Andrei Kochetkov in a note.

Month-end tax payments that usually lead exporters to convert foreign currency revenue to meet local liabilities are putting a floor under the rouble. Those taxes are due on April 28.

Brent crude oil, a global benchmark for Russia's main export, was up 0.1% at $77.75 a barrel, just off a one-month low hit in the previous session.

Oil prices dropped almost 4% on Wednesday, extending sharp losses from the previous session, driven by fears of a U.S. recession and an increase in Russian oil exports which dulled the impact of OPEC production cuts.

The market is also looking ahead to Friday's interest rate decision.

Weekly consumer prices rose marginally last week, data showed on Wednesday, cementing expectations for the central bank to hold rates at 7.5%, with the risk of inflationary pressure limiting room for manoeuvre on any monetary easing.

"We still see no reason for the central bank to change the rate and its rhetoric, but inflation risks will continue to concern the central bank more than economic growth," said Dmitry Polevoy, head of investment at Locko-Invest.

Russian stock indexes were higher.

© Reuters. Russian Rouble coins are seen in this illustration taken, February 24, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

The dollar-denominated RTS index was up 0.6% to 1,017.5 points. The rouble-based MOEX Russian index was 0.4% higher at 2,630.2 points.

Shares in lender VTB gained about 5% on the day after the bank posted high first quarter net profit as the wider banking sector recovers and the cost of risk normalises.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.