Marketmind: Headed for $100 trillion

Published 11/05/2021, 04:11 AM
Updated 11/05/2021, 04:16 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A person walks past the Bank of England, in London, Britain October 31, 2021. REUTERS/Tom Nicholson
ICAG
-

A look at the day ahead from Sujata.

A week that started with expectations of hawkish central banks, flattening bond yield curves and an equity correction is heading for a calmer end after Fed assurances that rate hikes were not yet on its mind and the Bank of England stunned markets by keeping policy steady.

Bond curves are mostly steeper as rate hike expectations retreat -- the two-year Treasury yield has tumbled more than 10 basis points off 19-month peaks of 0.5640% touched last week.

Britain's two-year gilt yield fell almost 21 bps after Thursday's UK rate decision -- its biggest one-day fall since the day after the 2016 Brexit referendum

And with "real" or inflation-adjusted yields resuming their fall, global equities appear headed towards the $100-trillion market cap mark.

The odd central bank-fuelled hiccup will be thrown in, doubtless, and don't forget China's property malaise -- shares in homebuilder Kaisa were suspended after an affiliate missed a payment, pulling Chinese bourses lower and knocking European and U.S. futures.

Economic data meanwhile continues to underwhelm, with Germany's industrial output down sharply in September, hit by supply bottlenecks. Japan's household spending fell in September in a sign the economy shrank in the third quarter.

Watch now for euro area retail sales and U.S. monthly payrolls data, which a Reuters poll forecasts will show 450,000 jobs added last month. Last month's report was a dismal one remember, so stock market bulls will be watching.

Key developments that should provide more direction to markets on Friday:

- British Airways parent company IAG (LON:ICAG) said it was heading for a 3 billion euro loss for 2021 [L8N2RW1LA]

-Honda lowers profit outlook 15% amid chip shortage [L1N2RW09Z]

-Uber makes first ever quarterly operating profit

-ECB speakers: Vice-President Luis de Guindos, board member Fabio Panetta

-British house prices rose 0.9% in October

-Data: Euro zone retail sales, U.S. non farm payrolls

-Central Bank of Argentina meets

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A person walks past the Bank of England, in London, Britain October 31, 2021. REUTERS/Tom Nicholson

- Europe earnings;  Amadeus, IAG

 

(For graphic on Market cap - https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/akpezmzdnvr/Pasted%20image%201636064587708.png)

 

 

 

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.