Mario Draghi, the former Italian Prime Minister and ex-President of the European Central Bank (ECB), warned of an impending recession in the European Union (EU) in an interview with the Financial Times on Thursday, November 9th, 2023. This prediction comes despite a slight economic growth of 0.1% in the broader EU economy during Q3.
Draghi anticipates this downturn to surface in the first half of 2024, attributing it to several factors including a marginal contraction of 0.1% in the Eurozone economy during Q3 as reported by Eurostat. His concerns echo those of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which, earlier this week, forecasted a modest increase in broader European growth from 1.3% this year to 1.5% in 2024, despite the slight growth witnessed in Q3.
During his tenure at the ECB from 2011 to 2019, Draghi identified key challenges contributing to Europe's economic slowdown. These include low productivity, high energy costs, and a lack of skilled labor. He also highlighted Europe's declining competitiveness against global powers such as the US, China, South Korea, and Japan over the past two decades.
The predicted recession is expected to impact businesses, employment, and living standards across the EU, signaling a need for urgent interventions to address these root causes. As these economic challenges persist, Draghi's warning underscores the importance of strategic planning and decisive action to safeguard Europe's economic future.
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