💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair ValueSee Undervalued Stocks

Japan must prepare for eventual end to BOJ's yield cap, says MOF executive

Published 08/03/2022, 11:48 PM
Updated 08/03/2022, 11:50 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man wearing a protective mask walks past the headquarters of the Bank of Japan amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Tokyo, Japan, May 22, 2020.REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo/File Photo

By Leika Kihara and Takaya Yamaguchi

TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan must prepare for the time the central bank abandons its 0% cap on long-term interest rates and when private investors become the dominant player in the government bond market, said a finance ministry executive overseeing debt issuance.

While the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) massive bond buying may be reducing market liquidity, it has not caused any disruption to the government's fund raising, said Michio Saito, who heads the ministry's division charged with issuing Japanese government bonds (JGBs).

"It's a comfortable situation for us in that we are able to stably issue JGBs at low interest rates, thanks in part to the effect of the BOJ's monetary policy," Saito told Reuters in an interview on Thursday.

"But we must bear in mind the BOJ's current policy won't last forever. Sometime in the future, it won't buy as much bonds as it does now, and will no longer peg interest rates at a set level," he said.

The Ministry of Finance (MOF) must prepare for the time the central bank modifies ultra-low rates, such as by taking steps to enhance liquidity in the JGB market, said Saito, who became director-general of the ministry's financial bureau in June.

Saito, known as "Mr. JGB" for his expertise in the market, said his division will work on developing market infrastructure for when private investors replace the BOJ as a major player in the JGB market.

The remarks highlight how Japanese policymakers are quietly laying the groundwork for when the BOJ withdraws its massive stimulus, as its counterparts across the globe tighten monetary policy to deal with soaring inflation.

"We're working closely with the BOJ to ensure the JGB market's function does not deteriorate too much," Saito said.

Under its yield curve control (YCC) policy, the BOJ caps the 10-year yield around 0% and offers to buy unlimited amount of JGBs to defend an implicit 0.25% cap around the target.

BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda has repeatedly brushed aside the chance of a near-term exit from ultra-low rates, stressing the need to focus on supporting a fragile economic recovery.

But deputy governor Masayoshi Amamiya, considered a strong candidate to succeed Kuroda when his term ends next April, has said the BOJ must always think about the appropriate means for exiting ultra-easy policy.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man wearing a protective mask walks past the headquarters of the Bank of Japan amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Tokyo, Japan, May 22, 2020.REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo/File Photo

After years of massive buying to fire up inflation to its 2% target, the BOJ now owns half of outstanding JGBs in the market.

Mounting upward pressure on yields forced the BOJ to buy a record monthly amount of JGBs in June to defend its yield cap, rolling back years of efforts to taper its huge buying and drawing criticism from investors for distorting market pricing.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.