🍎 🍕 Less apples, more pizza 🤔 Have you seen Buffett’s portfolio recently?Explore for Free

Italy to raise 2024 deficit goal to 4.1%-4.3% of GDP, sources say

Published 09/25/2023, 02:19 PM
Updated 09/25/2023, 03:47 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki hold a joint press conference in Warsaw, Poland, July 5, 2023, REUTERS/Kacper Pempel/File Photo

By Giuseppe Fonte

ROME (Reuters) - Italy's government plans to raise its 2024 budget deficit target to between 4.1% and 4.3% of gross domestic product (GDP), up from the 3.7% goal set in April, sources familiar with the matter told Reuters on Monday.

The fiscal gap next year is, however, seen below 4% of GDP under current trends.

That allows leeway worth several billion euros which will help Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni to fund measures in the upcoming 2024 budget.

Among her top priorities, Meloni intends to earmark more than 9 billion euros ($9.5 billion) to extend to 2024 the tax cuts that have helped middle and low-income workers cope with high consumer prices this year.

Italy is also preparing to raise this year's budget deficit above the current target of 4.5% of GDP due to the growing impact of costly fiscal incentives for home improvements.

Separate sources last week said the updated 2023 goal would be in the region of 5.5% as a proportion of GDP.

For 2024, the upcoming budget has been made challenging by a slew of weak data that cast a shadow over Italy's near-term growth prospects, hurting tax revenues.

The country's GDP shrank by 0.4% in the second quarter from the first and industrial output was weaker than expected in July, getting the third quarter off to a faltering start.

Moreover, the negative impact on Italy's economy from European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate hikes to curb inflation will intensify in the coming months, economists warn.

The Treasury currently estimates Italy can still grow by 0.9% or 1% this year, broadly in line with the current target, while the 1.5% forecast in 2024 is likely to be revised down to 1.1 or 1.2%.

All figures are still subject to some changes as talks within the government continue.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni and Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki hold a joint press conference in Warsaw, Poland, July 5, 2023, REUTERS/Kacper Pempel/File Photo

Meloni's cabinet is expected to meet on Wednesday to unveil a raft of economic targets in the Treasury's annual Economic and Financial Document.

($1 = 0.9439 euros)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.