💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair ValueSee Undervalued Stocks

Investors trim bets for peak Bank of England rate

Published 11/03/2022, 02:19 PM
Updated 11/03/2022, 02:21 PM
© Reuters. The logo of Bank of England is pictured during the Monetary Policy Report News Conference at The Bank of England, in London, Britain November 3, 2022. REUTERS/Toby Melville/Pool

LONDON (Reuters) - Investors trimmed their bets on the peak for British interest rates on Thursday after the Bank of England told them their expectations were too high, as it raised borrowing costs by their most since 1989.

The BoE increased Bank Rate to 3% from 2.25% even as it said Britain's economy might not grow for another two years, a slump longer than during the 2008-09 financial crisis.

Short-dated gilts outperformed against similar debt in other major government bond markets as investors adjusted to BoE Governor Andrew Bailey's warning that rates would go up by "less than currently priced in financial markets".

But the overnight index swaps market now shows a peak of around 4.7% in September this year, down a touch from almost 4.75% before the BoE's interest rate decision

"We think the BoE expects the peak in Bank Rate to be some way below the 4.75% implied by market pricing yesterday," said Andrew Goodwin, chief UK economist at consultancy Capital Economics.

© Reuters. The logo of Bank of England is pictured during the Monetary Policy Report News Conference at The Bank of England, in London, Britain November 3, 2022. REUTERS/Toby Melville/Pool

The market pointed to a roughly 95% chance of a further 50 basis-point interest rate hike at the BoE's next policy announcement on Dec. 15, with a 5% chance of a smaller 25 bps increase.

Long-dated gilt yields rose sharply and by a similar extent to yields for German, French and U.S. bonds.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.