Selloff or Market Correction? Either Way, Here's What to Do NextSee Overvalued Stocks

Euro zone investors look for clues as Fed minutes show no clear path for interest rates

Published 08/22/2019, 04:45 AM
Updated 08/22/2019, 04:51 AM
Euro zone investors look for clues as Fed minutes show no clear path for interest rates
DE10YT=RR
-
US10YT=X
-
IT10YT=RR
-
DE10IT10=RR
-

By Virginia Furness

LONDON (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields edged lower on Thursday after minutes from the Federal Reserve showed policymakers were deeply divided over the path of interest rates, and ahead of euro zone PMI data later in the session.

The Fed, which sets the tone for monetary policy globally, cut rates by 25 basis points at its last meeting, but was anything but unanimous on how to respond to slowing growth in the U.S. economy, with most policymakers favoring keeping rates unchanged.

They were however united in wanting to signal they were not on a preset path to more cuts, a message not likely to sit well with U.S. President Donald Trump.

The minutes offered "nothing to suggest that policymakers felt the need to use the FOMC minutes to send a more dovish signal despite an escalation of the trade war and deeper inversion of the yield curve since the July meeting," wrote analysts at NatWest Markets in a note published on Thursday.

Global central bankers meet at Jackson Hole, Wyoming, for their annual gathering on Friday, and markets will be eagerly awaiting any signals from there.

German bund yields tracked U.S. Treasuries and were two basis points lower in early trade.

Germany's 10-year bond yield was at -0.692%, while 10-year Treasuries were down by the same amount at 1.56% (DE10YT=RR), (US10YT=RR).

Germany's 30-year bond yield was also well bid, and was last down three basis points at -0.20%. A lackluster auction on Wednesday saw 30-year debt sold at a record low yield of -0.11%, but it raised only 824 million euros of bonds maturing in 2050 versus a target of 2 billion euros.

Flash PMI data for France, Germany and the euro zone will be watched for any further indication as to the state of the European economy. But money markets are still fully pricing in a 10 basis point rate cut by the European Central Bank , keeping downward pressure on bond yields.

Meanwhile Italian 10-year bond yields hit new October 2016 lows and were last down 4 bps to 1.297% (IT10YT=RR), while its spread over Italy fell below 200 bps (DE10IT10=RR).

Italy may be closer to reaching a deal on a new government, after Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte resigned on Tuesday.

(The story corrects first paragraph to ahead of euro zone PMI (not inflation) data.)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.