🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

Dollar jumps after surprise boost in May payrolls

Published 06/01/2023, 10:01 PM
Updated 06/02/2023, 03:37 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A packet of U.S. five-dollar bills is inspected at the Bureau of Engraving and Printing in Washington March 26, 2015. REUTERS/Gary Cameron
EUR/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
USD/CHF
-
AUD/USD
-
DX
-

(Updates prices, adds analyst quote in paragraph 6, adds paragraph 12 on Fitch keeping U.S. credit rating on negative watch)

By Hannah Lang

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar rose on Friday after May's non-farm payrolls report showed employment numbers surged, while traders weighed the merits of the U.S. Federal Reserve possibly skipping a rate hike in June.

The report showed that payrolls in the public and private sector increased by 339,000 in May, far outstripping the 190,000 forecast on average by economists polled by Reuters. May's jump followed a 253,000 rise in April.

Despite strong hiring, the unemployment rate rose to 3.7% from a 53-year low of 3.4% in April.

The dollar index =USD, which measures the U.S. currency against six others, was last up 0.435% at 103.980, on track for its largest daily percentage gain since mid-May. On the week, however, the dollar slipped 0.2%, its biggest weekly decline since early May.

The dollar index slid 0.62% on Thursday, its worst day in almost a month, after Fed officials signaled the central bank will forgo an interest rate hike this month.

"The Fed has painted themselves into a corner with these most recent statements about the need to take a pause, and then maybe look to hike in July, and I think they're going to regret it after today's non-farm payroll number," said Paresh Upadhyaya, director of fixed income and currency strategy at Amundi US.

Money markets are pricing in a roughly 29% chance of a June hike, down from near 70% earlier in the week. FEDWATCH

Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker said on Thursday it was "time to at least hit the stop button for one meeting and see how it goes."

A day earlier, Fed Governor Philip Jefferson said skipping a rate hike "would allow the committee to see more data before making decisions about the extent of additional policy firming."

"The challenge is that we've entered the Fed's blackout period ahead of the (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting, which means it's going to be hard to see a pushback from officials or any guidance from officials after this employment report," said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex.

The U.S. Senate's passage of a bill Thursday night to suspend the debt ceiling and avert a disastrous default removed a pillar of support for the dollar, which had paradoxically been a key beneficiary of the uncertainty because of its safe-haven status.

On Friday, Fitch Ratings said the United States' "AAA" credit rating will remain on negative watch, despite the debt limit agreement, citing repeated political standoffs and last-minute suspensions of the ceiling before the deadline.

The dollar climbed 0.8% against the yen this week, on track for its largest weekly percentage rise since mid-May.

Sterling rose 0.8% against the dollar, on pace for the biggest weekly gain since late April.

The euro EUR=EBS was last down 0.45% to $1.07135, off its highest in around a week after a boost on Thursday from European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde, who said further policy tightening was necessary.

The Australian dollar AUD=D4 surged after Australia's independent wage-setting body announced that it would raise the minimum wage by 5.75% from July 1. The Aussie rose by as much as 0.93% to $0.663, its strongest since May 24, and was last up 0.59% versus the greenback at $0.661.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 3:03PM (1903 GMT)

Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close

Previous

Session

Pct Change

YTD Pct

Change

High Bid

Low Bid

Dollar index

=USD

103.9800

103.5400

+0.44%

0.473%

+104.0800

+103.3800

Euro/Dollar

EUR=EBS

$1.0713

$1.0762

-0.45%

-0.01%

+$1.0779

+$1.0706

Dollar/Yen

JPY=EBS

139.9100

138.8150

+0.79%

+6.72%

+140.0650

+138.6000

Euro/Yen

EURJPY=

149.88

149.36

+0.35%

+6.83%

+149.9600

+149.2600

Dollar/Swiss

CHF=EBS

0.9087

0.9055

+0.34%

-1.74%

+0.9090

+0.9037

Sterling/Dollar

GBP=D3

$1.2454

$1.2526

-0.57%

+2.99%

+$1.2544

+$1.2442

Dollar/Canadian

CAD=D3

1.3429

1.3449

-0.14%

-0.88%

+1.3451

+1.3408

Aussie/Dollar

AUD=D3

$0.6612

$0.6573

+0.60%

-2.99%

+$0.6638

+$0.6572

Euro/Swiss

EURCHF=

0.9735

0.9743

-0.08%

-1.62%

+0.9760

+0.9729

Euro/Sterling

EURGBP=

0.8601

0.8592

+0.10%

-2.75%

+0.8605

+0.8579

NZ Dollar/Dollar

NZD=D3

$0.6064

$0.6070

-0.09%

-4.49%

+$0.6111

+$0.6059

Dollar/Norway

NOK=D3

11.0210

11.0480

-0.20%

+12.35%

+11.0620

+10.9640

Euro/Norway

EURNOK=

11.8048

11.8970

-0.77%

+12.49%

+11.9295

+11.8038

Dollar/Sweden

SEK=

10.8000

10.8021

-0.54%

+3.77%

+10.8170

+10.6850

Euro/Sweden

EURSEK=

11.5664

11.6296

-0.54%

+3.74%

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A packet of U.S. five-dollar bills is inspected at the Bureau of Engraving and Printing in Washington March 26, 2015. REUTERS/Gary Cameron

+11.6364

+11.5097

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.