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BofA sees 'meaningful risks' of Q2 U.S. economic contraction

Published 04/10/2023, 01:35 PM
Updated 04/10/2023, 01:43 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man walks his dog without wearing a face mask during the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic, while the Empire State Building and New York skyline are seen from Weehawken, in New Jersey, U.S., April 2, 2021. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz

(Reuters) - The U.S. economy is at risk of shrinking in the second quarter, BofA Global Research wrote in a client note, following recent economic data that hinted that the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes were cooling the economy.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man walks his dog without wearing a face mask during the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic, while the Empire State Building and New York skyline are seen from Weehawken, in New Jersey, U.S., April 2, 2021. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz

"This week's data flow is consistent with our view that the U.S. economy slowed steadily over the course of 1Q 2023," BofA economists wrote in a note dated Friday and emailed Monday. "As a result, the hand-off to 2Q looks weak. We see meaningful risks of a contraction in GDP in 2Q."

BofA pointed to data from April 3 showing U.S. manufacturing activity slumped in March to the lowest level in nearly three years as new orders plunged.

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