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Barclays sees Fed raising rate in January instead of December

Published 11/05/2023, 11:45 PM
Updated 11/06/2023, 12:21 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A cyclist passes the Federal Reserve building in Washington, DC, U.S., August 22, 2018. REUTERS/Chris Wattie/File Photo/File Photo

(Reuters) - Barclays said it now expects the U.S. Federal Reserve to deliver a 25 basis point interest rate increase in January instead of an earlier expectation for a December hike.

The brokerage cited softer-than-expected October employment data and dovish Fed commentary for the forecast push to next year.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: An eagle tops the U.S. Federal Reserve building's facade in Washington, July 31, 2013. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst/File Photo

The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday showed that the unemployment rate rose to 3.9% last month, the highest level since January 2022, from 3.8% in September.

"We continue to think the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) will need to proceed with additional tightening and will have to maintain a higher rate path than expected by the market, with no rate cut prior to September 2024," economists at Barclays said in a note dated Nov. 3.

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