💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair ValueSee Undervalued Stocks

Australia central bank chief weighs whether high Q3 inflation warrants rate rise

Published 10/25/2023, 06:22 PM
Updated 10/25/2023, 08:06 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Pedestrians walk past the Reserve Bank of Australia building in central Sydney, Australia, February 10, 2017. REUTERS/Steven Saphore/File Photo

By Stella Qiu

SYDNEY (Reuters) -The head of Australia's central bank on Thursday said the strong third-quarter inflation report was around policymakers' expectations, and they were still considering whether it would warrant a rate rise.

Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock warned earlier this week that the central bank will not hesitate to raise interest rates further if there is a "material" upward revision to the outlook.

"We are still analysing the numbers ... We have to look at whether or not it's material enough to change our views on monetary policy," Bullock said on Thursday in her first appearance before lawmakers since assuming the role of governor in mid-September.

"Given the information that have come in since then, particularly the monthly CPI indicator, we thought it was going to be about where it came out."

The Australian dollar dipped to a fresh 11-month low of $0.6285, and futures rose slightly but still imply a 60% chance that the RBA would resume the tightening cycle in November after four rate pauses.

Bullock noted that goods inflation is coming down as desired, but services inflation is higher than what policymakers were comfortable with.

The third quarter inflation was higher than what the central bank had forecast in August, which raised concerns about whether the RBA can get inflation back to the target band of 2-3% in late 2025, an already protracted path compared with other major economies.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Pedestrians walk past the Reserve Bank of Australia building in central Sydney, Australia, February 10, 2017. REUTERS/Steven Saphore/File Photo

It will release its updated economic forecasts in early November.

"When we go through our process of looking at our forecasts after the most recent news, we will again be making a judgment about how long do we think we can stay outside of the band in thinking what our monetary policy should be," said Bullock.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.