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Slowing Inflation Keeps Bank Of Japan Under Pressure

Published 01/30/2015, 12:33 AM
Updated 01/30/2015, 12:45 AM
© Reuters/Aly Song. Employees work at a factory inside the Japan Automotive Parts Industrial Center (JAPIC), in Danyang, Jiangsu province on July 8, 2014.

By Reuters -

© Reuters/Aly Song. Employees work at a factory inside the Japan Automotive Parts Industrial Center (JAPIC), in Danyang, Jiangsu province on July 8, 2014.

(Reuters) - Japan's core consumer inflation slowed for a fifth straight month in December hit by collapsing oil prices, keeping the central bank under pressure to meet its ambitious 2 percent inflation target.

But factory output rose 1.0 percent in December helped by a much-awaited rebound in exports and manufacturers expect to increase production in January, boding well for an economy emerging from recession.

The pick-up in output backs up the Bank of Japan's argument that a solid economic recovery will help accelerate inflation toward its target early next year, although oil price falls will continue to weigh on inflation in the short run.

Excluding the effect of a sales tax hike in April last year, core consumer price index (CPI) - which excludes volatile fresh food but includes oil products - stood at 0.5 percent, just a quarter of the way in achieving the BOJ's 2 percent target.

The headline core consumer inflation rose 2.5 percent in the year to December, government data showed on Friday. That was less than a median market forecast of a 2.6 percent increase.

The increase in December output compared with a median market forecast for a 1.3 percent gain. Manufacturers surveyed by the government expect output to rise 6.3 percent in January but fall 1.8 percent in February, the data showed.

The government raised its assessment on output to say it is "picking up moderately." In the previous month, it said output was flat.

Japan's economy slipped into recession in the third quarter of last year as exports failed to pick up and last April's sales tax hike cooled consumer spending.

Analysts expect the economy to have expanded an annualized 3.2 percent in October-December as the tax-hike pain subsides, a Reuters poll showed.

In a sign the recovery will be fragile, however, household spending fell 3.4 percent in the year to December, separate data showed on Friday, more than a median market forecast.

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