💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair ValueSee Undervalued Stocks

Morning Bid: Inflation expectations

Published 05/28/2024, 12:34 AM
Updated 05/28/2024, 12:35 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The construction site of "4 Frankfurt" skyscraper is reflected in a shop window in Frankfurt, Germany, July 19, 2023. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom Westbrook

The European Central Bank publishes inflation expectation surveys on Tuesday, which along with policymaker speeches are the highlight of an otherwise quiet calendar.

Easing forecasts would reinforce market bets on a rate cut next week, which is priced at a 92% probability.

French central bank governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau gave succour to expectations of more cuts, remarking to a German newspaper that policymakers should keep freedom on the timing and pace of future moves.

Traders main focus this week is on U.S., European and Japanese inflation statistics due on Friday.

Sterling and the New Zealand dollar touched two-month highs as they poked towards the top of recent ranges, while Japanese officials have resumed verbal warnings about the yen's weakness as the currency drifts back towards multi-decade lows.

Traders suspect Japan sold in the vicinity of $60 billion to defend the yen late in April and early in May and data due on Friday should reveal the scale of dollar selling in more detail.

Japanese corporate services prices rose at their fastest pace since early 2015 in April, data showed on Tuesday, an encouraging sign for sustainable inflation in Japan.

Australian retail sales crept higher in April, another sign that miserly household spending will add little to economic growth and may open the door to rate cuts.

U.S. markets return from a holiday on Tuesday and move to a shortened settlement cycle, with market participants and regulators on watch for any difficulties. Some dealers say it may draw Asian investors into early-morning currency trade.

Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The construction site of

Economics: ECB inflation expectations survey

Speeches: Fed's Mester, ECB's Schnabel and Knot

(By Tom Westbrook; Editing by Christopher Cushing)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.