🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

Markets rule out Fed summer rate hike after employment report

Published 06/03/2016, 08:57 AM
© Reuters.  Fed fund futures push rate hike expectations back to November

Investing.com – Odds for a rate hike in the next few months plummeted after the U.S. economy created much fewer jobs than expected, according to official data released on Friday.

The May employment report showed the creation of just 38,000 non-farm payrolls, far below consensus expectations for 164,000.

The reading pushed the dollar lower and sent U.S. futures into the red.

Notably, Fed fund futures slashed expectations for the next increase in interest rates.

According to the CME Group FedWatch tool, markets cut the odds of a rate hike back to 4% for June, compared to 21% before the release. The odds for a July hike tumbled to 38%, compared to the prior 58%.

In fact, the probability for tightening of monetary policy no longer crosses the 50% threshold until the November 2 meeting where it settled at 52%.

Markets will have one other key data point to gauge the strength of U.S. economy with the ISM non-manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) for May out at 14:00GMT, or 10:00AM ET.

Friday's data comes before Yellen will appear on Monday for likely the last time before the June 15 policy decision.

The Fed chief is set to give a speech on the economic outlook and monetary policy to the World Affairs Council of Philadelphia on Monday at 16:30GMT, or 12:30ET, and it could be the final chance for her to signal her position on the future path of rate hikes before the Fed announces their decision.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.