🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

Long-term impact of Trump policy plans on the dollar uncertainty, BofA says

Published 11/13/2024, 08:29 AM
© Reuters
DXY
-

Investing.com - The dollar index and dollar index futures edged down slightly in European trade on Wednesday after slipping from a four-month high in the prior session.

Traders had previously piled into the greenback amid bets that Trump will introduce more expansionary policies, potentially underpinning inflation in the coming years.

However, this trade paused on Wednesday, with the focus turning to key upcoming consumer price index data later in the day. The reading is expected to show inflation remained sticky in October.

The October consumer price index reading also comes after Minneapolis Fed chief Neel Kashkari warned on Tuesday that any increases in inflation could see the Fed keep rates on hold.

His comments saw traders trim bets on a 25 basis point cut in December, with traders pricing in a 64.2% chance for a cut, down from yesterday’s 66.7% probability of a cut, according to CME Fedwatch.

“The strong dollar is currently pricing in a good deal of Trump’s policy mix, and data releases/dovish Fed comments might offer good opportunities to take profit in bullish dollar positions,” said analysts at ING, in a note.

Meanwhile, in a note to clients on Wednesday, analysts at Bank of America Securities led by Athanasios Vamvakidis said while they expect Trump's plans to introduce tax reductions and impose strict levies on imports coming into the US could provide support to the dollar in the short-term, they are not sure about its prospects over a longer term.

"[T]he fiscal policy stance under the new Trump administration in the US remains an open question," the analysts said.

"Pre-election promises included both tax cuts and spending cuts. The market has assumed an inflationary impact, further fiscal policy loosening on the back of tax cuts, but could be surprised by fiscal policy tightening from spending cuts."

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.