📈 Fed's first cut since 2020: Time to buy the dip? See Tech-focused stock picksUnlock AI Picks

Japan's government set to trim economic growth forecast, sources say

Published 07/12/2024, 03:34 AM
Updated 07/12/2024, 03:35 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A vendor sells chocolates at a shop at the Ameyoko shopping district in Tokyo, Japan, May 20, 2022. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo

By Yoshifumi Takemoto

TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan is expected to slightly cut its forecast for economic growth of 1.3% in the fiscal year ending March 2025 as consumption takes a hit from rising import costs due to a weakening yen, two government sources told Reuters.

Japan's government releases its economic growth forecasts - which serve as a basis for compiling the state budget - in January and then revises them sometime around July.

In revised estimates due next week, the forecast is likely to be cut to about 1.0%, with rising living costs seen weighing on consumption for longer than initially expected, the sources said, asking not to be named because they were not authorised to speak to the media.

The new estimate, however, would still be higher than private-sector forecasts, reflecting government hopes that broadening wage hikes and an extension of fuel subsidies will boost consumer spending.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A vendor sells chocolates at a shop at the Ameyoko shopping district in Tokyo, Japan, May 20, 2022. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo

A survey by the Japan Center for Economic Research, a think-tank, released on Tuesday showed economists expect gross domestic product growth of 0.44% this fiscal year.

The Bank of Japan is also likely to trim this fiscal year's growth forecast in July, reflecting a rare unscheduled downgrade to historical GDP figures, sources have told Reuters. The central bank currently projects growth of 0.8% in the current fiscal year.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.