Dollar higher on fresh inflation data, euro lower after ECB rate cut

Published 12/11/2024, 09:20 PM
Updated 12/12/2024, 03:46 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
EUR/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
USD/CHF
-

By Hannah Lang

NEW YORK (Reuters) -The U.S. dollar rose on Thursday after a hotter than expected inflation readout while the euro traded a touch lower following the European Central Bank's decision to cut interest rates for the fourth time this year.

A Labor Department report on Thursday showed producer prices rose 0.4% on a monthly basis in November, compared with estimates of a 0.2% rise as per economists polled by Reuters.

The dollar index, which measures the currency against a basket of six others, was last up 0.375% at 106.95, a day after a separate U.S. inflation reading cemented bets for a rate cut from the Federal Reserve next week.

Markets are now almost fully pricing a 25 basis point cut at the Fed's Dec. 17-18 meeting, compared with about a 78% chance a week ago, the CME FedWatch tool showed. 

"Although the Fed is seen cutting its benchmark by a quarter point, moves in the last 24 hours — from the Bank of Canada, Swiss National Bank, and European Central Bank — have ensured that cross-currency rate differentials will remain wide relative to the U.S., maintaining the dollar’s position in relative terms," said Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at Corpay, in an note.

The ECB on Thursday cut interest rates by 25 basis points and kept the door open to further easing ahead as inflation closes in on its goal and the economy remains weak.

The euro was last down 0.2% against the dollar at $1.0473.

The Swiss franc was up against the dollar after the Swiss National Bank opted for a 50 basis point interest rate cut. A majority of economists surveyed by Reuters had expected a smaller 25 basis point move.

The dollar was up 0.78% at 0.89135 francs.

"There will be some headwinds in the near term," said Kirstine Kundby-Nielsen, FX research analyst at Danske Bank (CSE:DANSKE), about the Swiss franc after the rate cut.

"But more broadly I still think euro-Swiss will go lower, the franc will strengthen, if we look at the next couple of months ahead as I don't think the picture is very rosy in the euro area."

The dollar was slightly higher at 152.525 yen, after hitting a two-week high of 152.845 yen the previous day as market players trimmed back bets for a rate hike in Japan next week.

Reuters reported on Thursday that the BOJ is leaning toward keeping rates steady, as policymakers prefer to spend more time scrutinising overseas risks and clues on next year's wage outlook.

But with markets now eyeing a rate hike just a month later in January, the shift has not really become a big driver for investors to pile into the dollar against the yen, said Akira Moroga, chief market strategist at Aozora Bank.

"There were expectations for December, so dollar/yen has been rising from around 150 yen to about the 200-day average," he said.

The Australian dollar was down 0.06% at $0.6365, pulling further away from the just over one-year low of $0.63370 touched on Wednesday.

Australia's jobless rate posted a shock decline to an eight-month low in November, prompting markets to scale back bets for easing from the Reserve Bank of Australia in February.

The kiwi was last down 0.25% at $0.577, after hitting its lowest since Nov. 2022 at $0.57625 in the previous session.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

The yuan was last trading around 7.2772 per dollar in offshore trading.

China pledged on Thursday to increase its budget deficit, issue more debt and loosen monetary policy to maintain stable economic growth.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.