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BoE's inflation view suggests market underestimated rate hikes: Carney

Published 03/05/2019, 11:59 AM
Updated 03/05/2019, 12:00 PM
© Reuters. Bank of England press conference

LONDON (Reuters) - Bank of England Governor Mark Carney said the fact that the central bank's most recent economic forecasts showed inflation above the BoE's target over its three-year forecast period meant investors had not priced in enough monetary tightening ahead.

"In other words, the path of interest rates is not firm enough, it's not quite high enough for us to be fulfilling our mandate, which sends a broad signal in terms of the stance of policy," Carney told a committee in the upper house of Britain's parliament on Tuesday.

The BoE said in February that it expected British inflation in two and three years' time to stand at about 2.1 percent, a touch above its 2 percent target, even as investors scaled back their bets on how much interest rates were likely to rise.

The BoE's forecasts were based on the assumption that Britain reaches a deal with the European Union to smooth its exit from the bloc.

Carney also said on Tuesday that a degree of slack was opening up in Britain's slow-growing economy, something that was consistent with less interest rate tightening, but at the same time inflation-adjusted wages were growing.

© Reuters. Bank of England press conference

In the face of Brexit uncertainty, companies had shown a preference to hiring staff over making investments, he said.

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