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J.P.Morgan raises China's 2023 growth forecast

Published 12/15/2022, 04:46 AM
Updated 12/15/2022, 05:42 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The J.P.Morgan logo is seen at their offices at Canary Wharf financial district in London,Britain, March 3, 2016.  REUTERS/Reinhard Krause

(Reuters) -Analysts at J.P.Morgan on Thursday raised their 2023 growth forecast for China's gross domestic product by 30 basis points to 4.3% as the world's second largest economy reopens from tight COVID restrictions.

The brokerage also cut its 2022 economic growth outlook for the country to 2.8% from 2.9% previously.

"The most important development in the past month is earlier reopening with a faster pace. Our analysis has taken into account a transitional pain period before the economy enters a strong recovery," JPM said.

Beijing last Wednesday began dismantling its tough "zero-COVID" controls, dropping testing requirements and easing quarantine rules that had caused mental stress for tens of millions and left its economy battered.

Last month, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) hiked its estimate for China's economic growth to 4.5% for next year, citing the exit from zero-COVID policy.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The J.P.Morgan logo is seen at their offices at Canary Wharf financial district in London,Britain, March 3, 2016.  REUTERS/Reinhard Krause

China is battling coronavirus outbreaks in numerous major cities, including the capital Beijing, while it takes steps to try to ease the burden of its strict zero-COVID policy.

In the near term, China is likely to face disinflation pressure when domestic demand remains soft before the economy picks up pace, JPM said.

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