💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair ValueSee Undervalued Stocks

Japan household spending unexpectedly falls, casts doubt over fourth quarter recovery

Published 12/06/2018, 08:30 PM
Updated 12/06/2018, 08:35 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO - A man walks after shopping at the Tsukiji fish market in Tokyo
MS
-

By Leika Kihara and Kaori Kaneko

TOKYO (Reuters) - Japan's household spending unexpectedly fell in October and real wages slipped for a third straight month, adding to concerns about the strength of the economy as global trade frictions cloud export prospects.

The data follow a Reuters survey that showed Japanese firms are becoming more pessimistic about the country's economic prospects due to the Sino-U.S. trade war and next year's scheduled sales tax hike at home.

Household spending decreased 0.3 percent in October from a year earlier, government data showed on Friday, confounding a median market forecast of a 1.4 percent rise and marking the second straight month of falls.

Separate data showed real wages slipped for a third straight month in October, adding to concerns a full-fledged recovery in consumer spending is still some way off.

"Conditions aren't falling in place for consumption to strengthen. Recent rises in fuel and food prices may have hurt non-essential spending," said Shuji Tonouchi, senior market economist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) Securities.

"Wages are gradually increasing but not enough to make up for the higher cost of living, so spending isn't rising much."

A pickup in consumption is crucial for the Bank of Japan to achieve its elusive 2 percent inflation target, as weak spending has so far discouraged firms from raising prices for fear of turning away cost-sensitive households.

BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda repeated his resolve to maintain the central bank's massive stimulus program, warning of heightened global economic risks.

"The economy is sustaining its momentum for achieving our 2 percent target. But that momentum lacks strength, so we will carefully watch developments," he told parliament on Friday.

Japan's economy shrank in the third quarter and some analysts warn any rebound in the current quarter could miss consensus expectations as trade protectionism and slowing global demand hurt business sentiment.

"Looking at October's household spending data, we're not seeing a strong rebound in services prices," said Hiroaki Mutou, chief economist at Tokai Tokyo Research Institute.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO - A man walks after shopping at the Tsukiji fish market in Tokyo

"Consumption in October-December will probably rise more than the previous quarter. But the gain will be fairly small."

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.