💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair ValueSee Undervalued Stocks

Indonesia's November trade deficit seen narrowing as import growth slows: Reuters poll

Published 12/14/2018, 01:43 AM
Updated 12/14/2018, 01:45 AM
© Reuters. A worker walks on the dock of the Tanjung Priok Port in Jakarta

JAKARTA (Reuters) - Indonesia is expected to post a smaller trade deficit in November compared with a month earlier, a Reuters poll showed on Friday, in a relief to the central bank which has been raising rates to defend the rupiah.

The gap for November was seen at $830 million, according to the median forecast of 12 analysts, about half of October's revised deficit of $1.77 billion.

Authorities in Southeast Asia's largest economy have taken measures to control imports after soaring bills in the middle of this year widened the country's current account deficit and hurt the rupiah exchange rate .

The measures range from raising import tariffs and delaying big, import-heavy infrastructure projects, to a 175 basis point increase in the central bank's key policy rate.

Analysts in the poll estimated import growth to slow to 10.50 percent in November from a year earlier, compared to October's annual increase of 23.99 percent.

However, exports were still expected to remain sluggish with a 3.95 percent year-over-year growth in November, slower than a revised 4.21 percent increase in October.

"Indonesia's persistent trade deficit remains the main negative for the rupiah," ING said in a note, adding that its expectation that the deficit would shrink to $1.6 billion in November "should be some relief for the central bank".

Portfolio inflows have helped the rupiah strengthened over the past weeks, though it is still down about 7 percent against the dollar this year.

© Reuters. A worker walks on the dock of the Tanjung Priok Port in Jakarta

Bank Indonesia is scheduled to hold its monthly board of governors meeting on Dec. 19-20.

(Polling by Nilufar Rizki, Tabita Diela; Writing by Gayatri Suroyo; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.