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German economic institutes see 2023 contraction as gas crisis hits

Published 09/29/2022, 04:03 AM
Updated 09/29/2022, 04:12 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A display board shows the current prices of gasoline and diesel at a gas station of the company "NeebTank in Graefelfing near Munich, Germany, June 1, 2022. A temporary reduction in the energy tax is intended to lower the prices of gasoline an

BERLIN (Reuters) - Four leading German economic institutes have almost halved their spring economic growth forecast for Europe's largest economy this year and slashed their 2023 projection to -0.4% from 3.1%, they said on Thursday.

The four institutes now expect 1.4% growth this year, down from 2.7% seen in the spring.

"The crisis on the gas markets is having a severe impact on the German economy," said the four institutes - Munich-based Ifo, the Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), the Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) and the Leibniz Institute for Economic Research (RWI).

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A display board shows the current prices of gasoline and diesel at a gas station of the company

"Soaring gas prices are drastically increasing energy costs, leading to a massive reduction of the purchasing power," they added in a statement.

Under a risk scenario of a very cold winter, gas shortages and a lack of savings in energy consumption, the institutes expect gross domestic product (GDP) to contract by 7.9% in 2023 and by 4.2% in 2024.

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