💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair ValueSee Undervalued Stocks

German consumer morale cools slightly to hit two-year low: GfK

Published 05/28/2019, 02:09 AM
Updated 05/28/2019, 02:10 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Easter egg production on a farm in Bavaria

BERLIN (Reuters) - German consumer morale cooled slightly heading into June to hit its lowest level in more than two years as shoppers became less willing to buy and more downbeat about the growth outlook of Europe's largest economy, a survey showed on Tuesday.

The GfK consumer sentiment indicator, based on a survey of around 2,000 Germans, fell to 10.1 points from a downwardly revised 10.2 in the previous month.

This was the lowest reading since May 2017 and undershot a forecast of 10.4 points.

The data suggests that household spending could weaken at the end of the second quarter after Ifo's business sentiment survey showed that a recession in manufacturing is spilling over to parts of the services sector.

Domestic demand has become a key pillar of economic support in Germany, providing a buffer against external shocks such as U.S. President Donald Trump's 'America First' trade policies and Britain's chaotic departure from the European Union.

In the first three months of 2019, consumers were the main driver of a growth rebound of 0.4% quarter-on-quarter as shoppers are reveling in record-high employment, inflation-busting pay hike and low borrowing costs.

GfK said the gap between consumers' income expectations and their view on the economy as a whole continued to widen.

The sub-index for income expectations rose to 57.7 points while the indicator measuring expectations for the wider economy fell to 1.7, the survey showed.

The government last month slashed its 2019 growth forecast to 0.5% which would mark a sharp slowdown following calendar-adjusted growth rates of 2.5% in 2017 and 1.5% in 2018.

Despite the drop in GfK's headline figure, researchers are still expecting consumer spending to increase by roughly 1.5% this year. "Domestic demand will be an important pillar of economic growth," GfK researcher Rolf Bürkl said.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Easter egg production on a farm in Bavaria

NOTE - The consumer climate indicator forecasts the development of real private consumption in the following month. An indicator reading above zero signals year-on-year growth in private consumption. A value below zero indicates a drop in comparison with the same period a year ago. According to GfK, a one-point change in the indicator corresponds to a year-on-year change of 0.1 percent in private consumption. The "willingness to buy" indicator represents the balance between positive and negative responses to the question: "Do you think now is a good time to buy major items?" The income expectations sub-index reflects expectations about the development of household finances in the coming 12 months. The additional business cycle expectations index reflects the assessment of those questioned of the general economic situation in the next 12 months.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.