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French economic contraction worsened in December - flash PMI

Published 12/16/2022, 03:20 AM
Updated 12/16/2022, 03:26 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A view shows a skyscraper under construction and the Engie tower at the financial and business district of La Defense in Puteaux near Paris, France, February 7, 2022. REUTERS/Gonzalo Fuentes
SPGI
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By Sudip Kar-Gupta

PARIS (Reuters) - French business activity contracted at a faster rate in December than the previous month, a survey showed on Friday, adding to signs of a recession ahead for the euro zone's second-biggest economy as inflation hits businesses.

S&P Global (NYSE:SPGI)'s flash December purchasing managers index (PMI) for France's services sector came in at 48.1 points, down from November's final figure of 49.3 and below the estimate in a Reuters poll which had pointed to a reading of 49.1.

Any figure above 50.0 indicates an expansion in activity, while below that suggests a contraction.

The country's manufacturing sector fared slightly better, according to the flash forecasts, but remained in contraction.

The flash December PMI figure for the French manufacturing sector rose to 48.9 a final November figure of 48.3, beating a Reuters forecast for 48.2.

The flash December composite PMI, which comprises both the services and manufacturing sectors, fell to a 22-month low of 48.0 from a final November figure of 48.7 and below a Reuters forecast for 48.9.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A view shows a skyscraper under construction and the Engie tower at the financial and business district of La Defense in Puteaux near Paris, France, February 7, 2022. REUTERS/Gonzalo Fuentes

"Another month of falling business activity across the euro area's second-largest economy heightens the risk that the region is headed for a recession," said S&P Global market Intelligence senior economist Joe Hayes.

"Based off the latest survey results, we're likely to see French GDP contract in the fourth quarter, which will raise the risk of a technical recession being confirmed in 2023," added Hayes.

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