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Euro zone consumers trim near-term inflation expectations: ECB

Published 02/06/2024, 04:07 AM
Updated 02/06/2024, 04:10 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A view of the European Central Bank (ECB) headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany March 16, 2023. REUTERS/Heiko Becker/File Photo

FRANKFURT (Reuters) - Euro zone consumers have trimmed their expectations for inflation over the next 12 months, a European Central Bank poll showed on Tuesday, in a sign the ECB's credit-tightening efforts are having an impact.

The Consumer Expectations Survey (CES) is used by policymakers to gauge whether the steepest streak of interest-rate hikes in the euro's history has persuaded households that once runaway inflation will fall back to the ECB's 2% inflation goal.

The latest poll, carried out in December on an expanded panel of 11 countries, showed the median household expected prices to rise by 3.2% in the following 12 months, down from 3.5% a month earlier.

On the flipside, expectations for inflation three years ahead remained slightly above the ECB's goal, even rising slightly to 2.5% from 2.4%.

The result for the previous months were restated to include responses from Ireland, Greece, Austria, Portugal and Finland, which are now also part of the survey.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A view of the European Central Bank (ECB) headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany March 16, 2023. REUTERS/Heiko Becker/File Photo

They join Belgium, Germany, Spain, France, Italy and the Netherlands, raising the poll's coverage to 96% of the euro area’s GDP and 94% of its population.

The CES is an important input in the ECB's deliberations because households' inflation expectations can affect wage demands and attitudes towards saving and spending.

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