👀 Ones to watch: The MOST undervalued stocks to buy right nowSee Undervalued Stocks

Australia's economy rebounds in first quarter, extends recession-free run

Published 06/05/2018, 10:30 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Construction workers descend using temporary stairs on a major construction site in central Sydney

By Swati Pandey

SYDNEY (Reuters) - Australia's economy grew at the fastest annual pace in almost two years as it entered its 27th year of growth without a recession, but uncertainty over household consumption and global trade dimmed the outlook for future growth.

Gross domestic product (GDP) expanded by 1 percent in the first quarter, from an upwardly revised 0.5 percent in the December quarter, data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed on Wednesday.

Annual growth jumped to 3.1 percent from the December quarter's 2.4 percent.

The result just beat market forecasts of growth of 0.9 percent for the quarter and 2.8 percent on-year, pushing the local dollar up a quarter of a cent to $0.7665 .

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) had sounded upbeat about future economic growth after its policy meeting on Tuesday but kept interest rates steady at 1.5 percent in anticipation of a gradual revival in inflation.

Investors suspect interest rates will stay on hold for a long time to come: Interbank futures <0#YIB:> are not fully priced for a hike until September 2019.

A bumper run in exports was the main driver of the first-quarter acceleration, accounting for half the growth in GDP, while government spending and non-mining investment also helped.

Household consumption - which accounts for around 57 percent of GDP - contributed 0.2 percentage point to growth in the quarter.

However, there was caution around reading too much into the quarterly numbers.

"While recent data does point to an acceleration in March-quarter GDP growth, there have been numerous growth spikes in Australia to around 1 percent, quarter-on-quarter, in recent years only to be followed by a cooling again," said Shane Oliver, chief economist at AMP.

"Uncertainty remains around the outlook for consumer spending: Household debt is high, banks are tightening lending standards, wage growth and inflation remain low and will pick up only gradually, and house prices are falling," Oliver added.

Household spending on insurance, transport, health care and utilities grew the most while spending on alcoholic drinks, cigarettes and eating out dropped, the data showed.

Some of that spending had to be funded by reduced saving, with the savings ratio falling to 2.1 percent from 2.3 percent.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Construction workers descend using temporary stairs on a major construction site in central Sydney

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.