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Fed pauses interest rates, but Bitcoin options data still points to BTC price downside

Published 06/14/2023, 04:55 PM
Updated 06/14/2023, 07:00 PM
© Reuters
BTC/USD
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Bitcoin's price has been pinned below $26,300 since June 10, reflecting a 14.8% correction in two months. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq tech stock market index gained 13.6% in the same period, indicating that investors are not exactly fleeing to the safety of cash and short-term debt. In fact, the demand for United States government bonds has been declining for the past six weeks.

U.S. 2-year government bond yield. Source: TradingView

The yield on two-year U.S. Treasurys, for example, increased from 3.80% on May 4 to 4.68% on June 14. Lower demand for debt instruments increases payouts, resulting in a higher yield. If the investor thinks that inflation will continue above target, the tendency is for those participants to demand a higher yield when trading bonds.

Bitcoin options aggregate open interest for June 16. Source: Deribit

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