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CPI report may show uptick in US inflation — How will Bitcoin price react?

Published 08/08/2023, 01:47 PM
Updated 08/08/2023, 03:20 PM
© Reuters.
BTC/USD
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The S&P 500 index is currently trading only 6% below its all-time high, which was reached in January 202. Traditionally, such a situation would be seen as a bullish sign for risk-on assets, including commodities and cryptocurrencies, but this time, it appears that investors have been using the stock market as a means of protection against the recent inflation surge, which sustained at over 4% between April 2021 and May 2023.

For Bitcoin (BTC) and cryptocurrency investors, inflation has typically been viewed as a positive factor influencing the price, as evidenced by the previous all-time highs of $65,000 and $69,000 that occurred during a period of monetary expansion and increasing inflation in 2021. However, the current situation is different because inflation is making a comeback while the Federal Reserve has been effectively reducing liquidity in the system. As a result, the impact of inflation on cryptocurrencies remains uncertain.

Gold price in USD (blue, right) vs. S&P 500 index (orange, left). Source: TradingView
Bitcoin 3-month futures premium. Source: Laevitas
BTC options volume put-to-call ratio. Source: Laevitas

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