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3 reasons why Bitcoin’s drop to $56.5K may have been the local bottom

Published 11/19/2021, 08:10 PM
Updated 11/20/2021, 08:20 PM
© Reuters.
BTC/USD
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The first rule of Bitcoin (BTC) trading should be “expect the unexpected.” In just the past year alone, there have been five instances of 20% or higher daily gains, as well as five intraday 18% drawdowns. Truth to be told, the volatility of the past 3-months has been relatively modest compared to recent peaks.

Bitcoin historical 90-day annualized volatility. Source: TradingView

Whether it be multi-million dollar institutional fund managers or retail investors, traders new to Bitcoin are often mesmerized by a 19% correction after a local top. Even more shocking to many is the fact that the current $13,360 correction from the Nov. 10 $69,000 all-time high took place over nine days.

Bitcoin futures aggregate open interest. Source: Coinglass.com
Bitcoin 30-day options 25% delta skew. Source: Laevitas.ch
OKEx USDT/BTC margin lending ratio. Source: OKEx

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