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Workday stock gets price target boost as Analyst Day highlights cash flow growth potential

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 09/18/2024, 10:44 AM
WDAY
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On Wednesday, CapitalOne adjusted its outlook on Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), a provider of enterprise cloud applications for finance and human resources. The firm raised its price target slightly to $291.00 from $289.00 while reaffirming its Overweight rating on the stock. The adjustment follows Workday's recent Analyst Day, where the company shared financial targets and growth strategies.

During the event, Workday reiterated its approach to achieving future growth, particularly highlighting its consistent cRPO (calculated remaining performance obligation) growth. Despite some investor skepticism regarding Workday's FY27 guidance, CapitalOne expressed confidence in the company's ability to meet its targets. This confidence is based on the belief that the projected growth in the latter half of the period appears conservative.

Previously, at its earnings announcement, Workday had updated its medium-term financial guidance. It revised its revenue growth forecast downward to 15% from the previous range of 17% to 19%. However, the company also raised its FY27 adjusted operating margin target to 30% from the initial expectation of over 25%, suggesting a rapid 500 basis point improvement within two years.

CapitalOne's increased price target comes in the wake of Workday's disclosure of its ambitious financial goals for FY27. The company is aiming for an operating cash flow margin of 34% and a free cash flow (FCF) margin of 30%.

These targets have prompted CapitalOne to elevate its estimates for these margins by approximately 200 basis points from previous estimates. Additionally, Workday has set a goal for stock-based compensation (SBC) to represent 15% of revenue, with net dilution of 1% per annum, potentially indicating an acceleration from the current rate of stock buybacks.

In other recent news, Workday has made significant strides in its business operations. The company reported a 17% increase in subscription revenue, reaching $1.903 billion in its recent second-quarter earnings report. Additionally, Workday announced its intention to acquire Evisort, an AI document intelligence platform, which is expected to close in the third quarter of Workday's fiscal year 2025.

Workday also introduced four new artificial intelligence agents, Recruiter, Expenses, Succession, and Workday Optimize, designed to automate and improve processes in human resources and finance. These agents are part of the Workday Illuminate platform and are expected to enhance productivity by streamlining routine business workflows.

Analyst firms, such as UBS, BofA Securities, JPMorgan, and Guggenheim, have provided varied perspectives on Workday's performance, maintaining their respective ratings and price targets. In terms of board changes, Workday announced the appointment of Rhonda J. Morris, Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX)'s vice president and chief human resources officer, to its Board of Directors, effective early 2025.

InvestingPro Insights


As Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY) continues to navigate its growth strategy, recent insights from InvestingPro provide a deeper financial perspective on the company. Workday boasts a robust balance sheet, holding more cash than debt, which is a reassuring sign for investors considering the company's future investment and operational flexibility. This is complemented by the fact that Workday's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, laying a solid foundation for enduring any potential market volatility.

Analyzing Workday's real-time metrics, the company has a market capitalization of approximately $65.48 billion, reflecting its substantial presence in the Software industry. With a high Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of around 42.59, the company trades at a premium, likely due to its impressive gross profit margins which stand at roughly 75.77%. These margins are indicative of Workday's strong pricing power and operational efficiency. Furthermore, the company has experienced significant revenue growth of 17.07% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2023, signaling robust business expansion.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that 25 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, indicating potential optimism in Workday's financial performance. Additionally, Workday is recognized as a prominent player in the Software industry, which could further bolster investor confidence. For those interested in exploring more about Workday's financial health and future prospects, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, providing a comprehensive analysis of the company's performance and valuation metrics.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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