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Visa stock target raised by Baird on steady outlook

EditorTanya Mishra
Published 10/17/2024, 07:19 AM
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Baird has maintained a positive stance on Visa (NYSE: V), raising the credit card giant's price target to $330 from the previous $320 while keeping an Outperform rating.

The firm's analyst highlighted Visa's potential to outperform expectations in the fourth fiscal quarter, with both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) projected to be slightly above Wall Street estimates.

Despite not seeing the upcoming fiscal quarter's earnings as a significant catalyst, the analyst regards Visa as a reliable long-term investment, emphasizing its strong competitive position.

Visa's stock is currently trading near a 10-year relative low, at approximately a 15% premium to the S&P's next twelve months (NTM) price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a notable decrease from the average 50% premium it has held over the past decade.

The reduced premium is attributed to concerns about the total addressable market (TAM) becoming more penetrated, uncertainties regarding net pricing, and the potential impact of regulatory scrutiny.

Despite these market concerns, Baird anticipates that Visa's fourth fiscal quarter results will slightly surpass expectations. Furthermore, the firm suggests that the financial guidance for the fiscal year 2025 may begin modestly below market consensus.

The analyst's commentary underscores confidence in Visa's enduring market presence, describing the company as a "steady long-term compounder" with a robust competitive barrier, commonly referred to as a moat. This perspective suggests that while short-term catalysts may not significantly boost the stock, Visa's foundational strengths position it well for sustained performance.

Visa's upcoming financial results and guidance for fiscal year 2025 will be closely watched by investors as indicators of the company's trajectory in the face of market headwinds and competitive pressures. The raised price target from Baird reflects a vote of confidence in Visa's ability to navigate these challenges and continue to deliver value to its shareholders.

In other recent news, Visa Inc (NYSE:V). has seen a series of noteworthy developments. Jefferies has raised Visa's price target to $320 while maintaining a buy rating, based on expectations of revenue growth driven by foreign exchange volatility and service revenue yields. The firm predicts a slight third-quarter revenue beat and a low-double-digit growth for fiscal year 2025. In addition, Visa has adjusted the conversion rates for its class B common stock due to a $1.5 billion deposit into the U.S. litigation escrow account.

Visa has also announced the creation of the Visa Tokenized Asset Platform (VTAP) and the Visa Commercial Solutions Hub, aiming to enable financial institutions to issue fiat-backed tokens on blockchain networks and streamline business payment management, respectively. Furthermore, Visa plans to acquire the artificial intelligence firm Featurespace to enhance its fraud prevention capabilities.

Despite an ongoing Department of Justice lawsuit, financial services firms such as BMO Capital have maintained positive ratings on Visa's stock. The company reported a 7% increase in payment volume and an adjusted earnings per share of $2.42 for the third fiscal quarter of 2024.

InvestingPro Insights

Complementing Baird's positive outlook on Visa, InvestingPro data reveals some compelling metrics that support the company's strong market position. As of the last twelve months ending Q3 2024, Visa boasts an impressive gross profit margin of 97.8% and an operating income margin of 66.95%, underscoring its operational efficiency and pricing power. These figures align with Baird's view of Visa as a "steady long-term compounder" with a robust competitive moat.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Visa has raised its dividend for 16 consecutive years, with a current dividend yield of 0.72%. This consistent dividend growth, coupled with a 15.56% dividend increase in the last twelve months, reinforces the company's financial stability and commitment to shareholder returns. Additionally, Visa's ability to sufficiently cover interest payments with its cash flows further solidifies its financial health.

While the article mentions Visa trading at a relative low compared to its historical premium over the S&P 500, InvestingPro data shows the stock is still trading near its 52-week high, with a price that is 98.11% of its 52-week peak. This suggests that despite market concerns, investors continue to value Visa's strong market position and growth potential.

For readers interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers 10 additional tips for Visa, providing a more comprehensive view of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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